Happy Valley · 2025-11-26 · 13:50
Race 7
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2025-11-26 was Class 4 over 1650m. ALLCASH, ridden by H Bowman and trained by C S Shum, won, with FORTUNE STAR second and PRESTIGE RICKY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.0 favourite AMAZING GAZE finished 8th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | ALLCASH Closed strongly 1:40.45 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 7 | 26.0 | — |
| 2 | 8 | FORTUNE STAR Closed strongly L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 9 | 4.6 | N |
| 3 | 4 | PRESTIGE RICKY Closed strongly B Avdulla · P F Yiu | B Avdulla | P F Yiu | — | 44.0 | — |
| 3 | 6 | TAKE ACTION J McDonald · J Size | J McDonald | J Size | — | 20.0 | — |
| 5 | 3 | AMAZING AWARD Closed strongly K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 2 | 20.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 10 | ACE WAR Closed strongly H Doyle · D J Whyte | H Doyle | D J Whyte | 8 | 12.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 1 | FORTUNATE SON Closed strongly K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 5 | 8.9 | 2 |
| 8 | 5 | AMAZING GAZE Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 4 | 2.0 | 2 |
| 9 | 12 | SMILING EMPEROR H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 3 | 37.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | BOWSER Led early Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 6 | 14.0 | 3 |
| 11 | 7 | CELTIC TIMES C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 1 | 18.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | ISLAND BREEZES A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 12 | 81.0 | 10 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | AMAZING GAZE | 42.5% | 2.35 | 8 |
| 2 | 8 | FORTUNE STAR | 10.2% | 9.85 | 2 |
| 3 | 6 | TAKE ACTION | 7.4% | 13.55 | 3 |
| 4 | 7 | CELTIC TIMES | 6.8% | 14.69 | 11 |
| 5 | 10 | ACE WAR | 6.6% | 15.17 | 6 |
| 6 | 1 | FORTUNATE SON | 5.9% | 16.81 | 7 |
| 7 | 3 | AMAZING AWARD | 5.7% | 17.52 | 5 |
| 8 | 2 | ALLCASH | 4.9% | 20.32 | 1 |
| 9 | 9 | BOWSER | 3.8% | 26.48 | 10 |
| 10 | 4 | PRESTIGE RICKY | 2.5% | 39.85 | 3 |
| 11 | 12 | SMILING EMPEROR | 1.9% | 52.66 | 9 |
| 12 | 11 | ISLAND BREEZES | 1.8% | 55.17 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 264
PLACE
2 60.5
4 40.5
6 24
8 15.5
QUINELLA
2,8 652
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 357
2,6 134
2,8 164.5
4,6 319
4,8 76
6,8 59
FORECAST
2,8 1,463
TIERCE
2,8,4 16,653
2,8,6 7,955
TRIO
2,4,8 2,563
2,6,8 856
FIRST 4
2,4,6,8 14,216
QUARTET
2,8,4,6 211,072
2,8,6,4 157,379
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,5,9/2,4,8 59,688
1,5,9/2,6,8 28,889
6TH DOUBLE
5/2 819
5/8 33.5
TRIPLE TRIO
9,10,12/1,5,9/2,6,8 2,473,956
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
9,10,12/1,5,9/Any Combination 4,030