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Happy Valley · 2025-11-26 · 14:55

Race 9

Class 3 1200m Course C 12 runners

Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2025-11-26 was Class 3 over 1200m. KING MILES, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won, with PRESTIGE ALWAYS second and KYRUS DRAGON third. The 1.8 favourite AKASHVANI finished 4th.

Result

Official · 1:10.06
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 5 KING MILES 1:10.06 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui 9 8.8
2 7 PRESTIGE ALWAYS H Bentley · P C Ng 3 9.2 NOSE
3 1 KYRUS DRAGON K Teetan · D J Hall 4 14.0 NOSE
4 4 AKASHVANI Z Purton · D A Hayes 1 1.8 N
5 3 SPICY GOLD A Badel · M Newnham 7 11.0 N
6 12 LUCKY PLANET M F Poon · W K Mo 12 47.0 1/2
7 6 CHARMING BABE L Ferraris · P F Yiu 5 11.0 3/4
8 9 CANDLELIGHT DINNER J Orman · Y S Tsui 8 26.0 1-1/4
9 10 GREATER BAE A Atzeni · D Eustace 11 28.0 1-3/4
10 2 SYMBOL OF STRENGTH C L Chau · F C Lor 2 18.0 2-1/2
11 8 ALL TOO BRAVE L Hewitson · J Richards 6 105.0 3
12 11 NORTHERN FIRE BALL Y L Chung · C H Yip 10 23.0 3-3/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. KING MILES2. PRESTIGE ALWAYS+0.05L3. KYRUS DRAGON+0.05L4. AKASHVANI+0.05L5. SPICY GOLD+0.05L6. LUCKY PLANET+0.5L7. CHARMING BABE+0.75L8. CANDLELIGHT DINNER+1.25L9. GREATER BAE+1.75L10. SYMBOL OF STRENGTH+2.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick AKASHVANI (38.5%) finished 4th — the winner KING MILES was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 4 AKASHVANI 38.5% 2.60 4
2 6 CHARMING BABE 15.4% 6.50 7
3 5 KING MILES 9.4% 10.60 1
4 1 KYRUS DRAGON 8.5% 11.70 3
5 7 PRESTIGE ALWAYS 7.4% 13.48 2
6 3 SPICY GOLD 4.6% 21.86 5
7 11 NORTHERN FIRE BALL 3.8% 26.09 12
8 9 CANDLELIGHT DINNER 3.6% 27.69 8
9 12 LUCKY PLANET 2.8% 35.45 6
10 2 SYMBOL OF STRENGTH 2.6% 38.99 10
11 10 GREATER BAE 2.1% 46.58 9
12 8 ALL TOO BRAVE 1.2% 82.47 11
AKASHVANICHARMING BABEKING MILES — wonKYRUS DRAGONPRESTIGE ALWAYSSPICY GOLDNORTHERN FIRE BALLCANDLELIGHT DINNERLUCKY PLANETSYMBOL OF STRENGTHGREATER BAEALL TOO BRAVE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 88.5

PLACE

1 31.5

5 21

7 24.5

QUINELLA

5,7 426.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,5 119

1,7 133.5

5,7 125.5

FORECAST

5,7 642

TIERCE

5,7,1 5,610

TRIO

1,5,7 902

FIRST 4

1,4,5,7 416

QUARTET

5,7,1,4 16,562

All pools (4 more)

2ND TREBLE

2/2/5 9,812

2/2/7 3,794

4TH DOUBLE TRIO

2,7,12/1,5,7 53,426

8TH DOUBLE

2/5 490

2/7 168.5

SIX UP

4,8/9,12/1,5/2,8/2,7/5,7 5,620

4/9/5/2/2/5 2,401,816

2 [C S Shum]

10 [C Y Ho]