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Happy Valley · 2025-11-26 · 22:18

Race 8

Class 3 1650m Course C 12 runners

Result

Official · 1:40.29
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 2 THE BOOM BOX Closed strongly 1:40.29 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · W Y So 4 14.0 —
2 7 KING LOTUS Closed strongly L Hewitson · M Newnham 11 3.6 3/4
3 12 MIGHTY STEED Led early H Doyle · K W Lui 12 6.0 1-3/4
4 4 STORMING DRAGON Closed strongly J McDonald · J Richards 3 11.0 2
5 6 KEEN MOLLY Z Purton · D Eustace 9 4.2 2-1/2
6 10 NOVA KNIGHT M L Yeung · D A Hayes 7 109.0 2-1/2
7 1 EMBRACES Closed strongly C L Chau · W K Mo 5 13.0 3
8 3 A AMERIC TE SPECSO Closed strongly A Atzeni · J Size 6 7.5 3
9 9 HARMONY GALAXY M F Poon · C S Shum 2 13.0 3
10 11 SURE JOYFUL K Teetan · P F Yiu 1 31.0 3-1/2
11 5 SHAMZ Y L Chung · A S Cruz 10 23.0 6-1/2
12 8 COLOURFUL GAN R Kingscote · D J Whyte 8 71.0 7-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2025-11-26 was Class 3 over 1650m. THE BOOM BOX, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by W Y So, won, with KING LOTUS second and MIGHTY STEED third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.6 favourite KING LOTUS finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. THE BOOM BOX—2. KING LOTUS+0.75L3. MIGHTY STEED+1.75L4. STORMING DRAGON+2L5. KEEN MOLLY+2.5L6. NOVA KNIGHT+2.5L7. EMBRACES+3L8. A AMERIC TE SPECSO+3L9. HARMONY GALAXY+3L10. SURE JOYFUL+3.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick KEEN MOLLY (26.3%) finished 5th — the winner THE BOOM BOX was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 6 KEEN MOLLY 26.3% 3.80 5
2 7 KING LOTUS 12.5% 8.03 2
3 4 STORMING DRAGON 10.4% 9.58 4
4 3 A AMERIC TE SPECSO 8.5% 11.75 8
5 12 MIGHTY STEED 8.3% 11.99 3
6 2 THE BOOM BOX 8.1% 12.32 1
7 1 EMBRACES 6.6% 15.21 7
8 9 HARMONY GALAXY 5.8% 17.34 9
9 5 SHAMZ 5.6% 17.81 11
10 11 SURE JOYFUL 5.1% 19.49 10
11 8 COLOURFUL GAN 1.6% 61.76 12
12 10 NOVA KNIGHT 1.1% 89.09 6
KEEN MOLLYKING LOTUSSTORMING DRAGONA AMERIC TE SPECSOMIGHTY STEEDTHE BOOM BOX — wonEMBRACESHARMONY GALAXYSHAMZSURE JOYFULCOLOURFUL GANNOVA KNIGHT

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 140

PLACE

2 38.5

7 15

12 23

QUINELLA

2,7 266

QUINELLA PLACE

2,7 103

2,12 173.5

7,12 48.5

FORECAST

2,7 645

TIERCE

2,7,12 4,523

TRIO

2,7,12 654

FIRST 4

2,4,7,12 1,792

QUARTET

2,7,12,4 45,334

All pools (1 more)

7TH DOUBLE

2/2 2,255.5

2/7 218