Happy Valley · 2025-11-26 · 14:20
Race 8
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2025-11-26 was Class 3 over 1650m. THE BOOM BOX, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by W Y So, won, with KING LOTUS second and MIGHTY STEED third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.6 favourite KING LOTUS finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | THE BOOM BOX Closed strongly 1:40.29 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 4 | 14.0 | — |
| 2 | 7 | KING LOTUS Closed strongly L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 11 | 3.6 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 12 | MIGHTY STEED Led early H Doyle · K W Lui | H Doyle | K W Lui | 12 | 6.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 4 | STORMING DRAGON Closed strongly J McDonald · J Richards | J McDonald | J Richards | 3 | 11.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 6 | KEEN MOLLY Z Purton · D Eustace | Z Purton | D Eustace | 9 | 4.2 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 10 | NOVA KNIGHT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 7 | 109.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 1 | EMBRACES Closed strongly C L Chau · W K Mo | C L Chau | W K Mo | 5 | 13.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 3 | A AMERIC TE SPECSO Closed strongly A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 6 | 7.5 | 3 |
| 9 | 9 | HARMONY GALAXY M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 2 | 13.0 | 3 |
| 10 | 11 | SURE JOYFUL K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 1 | 31.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 5 | SHAMZ Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 10 | 23.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 8 | COLOURFUL GAN R Kingscote · D J Whyte | R Kingscote | D J Whyte | 8 | 71.0 | 7-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | KEEN MOLLY | 26.3% | 3.80 | 5 |
| 2 | 7 | KING LOTUS | 12.5% | 8.03 | 2 |
| 3 | 4 | STORMING DRAGON | 10.4% | 9.58 | 4 |
| 4 | 3 | A AMERIC TE SPECSO | 8.5% | 11.75 | 8 |
| 5 | 12 | MIGHTY STEED | 8.3% | 11.99 | 3 |
| 6 | 2 | THE BOOM BOX | 8.1% | 12.32 | 1 |
| 7 | 1 | EMBRACES | 6.6% | 15.21 | 7 |
| 8 | 9 | HARMONY GALAXY | 5.8% | 17.34 | 9 |
| 9 | 5 | SHAMZ | 5.6% | 17.81 | 11 |
| 10 | 11 | SURE JOYFUL | 5.1% | 19.49 | 10 |
| 11 | 8 | COLOURFUL GAN | 1.6% | 61.76 | 12 |
| 12 | 10 | NOVA KNIGHT | 1.1% | 89.09 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 140
PLACE
2 38.5
7 15
12 23
QUINELLA
2,7 266
QUINELLA PLACE
2,7 103
2,12 173.5
7,12 48.5
FORECAST
2,7 645
TIERCE
2,7,12 4,523
TRIO
2,7,12 654
FIRST 4
2,4,7,12 1,792
QUARTET
2,7,12,4 45,334
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
2/2 2,255.5
2/7 218