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Sha Tin · 2026-01-04 · 07:35

LEIGHTON HANDICAP

Race 7

Class 2 GOOD 1600m Course C 10 runners

Race 7 ("LEIGHTON HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-01-04 was Class 2 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. SAGACIOUS LIFE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by P C Ng, won, with SOLEIL FIGHTER second and TOP DRAGON third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.5 favourite.

Result

Official · 1:34.09
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 SAGACIOUS LIFE Closed strongly TT 1:34.09 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · P C Ng 3 3.5
2 2 SOLEIL FIGHTER XB H Bowman · D A Hayes 1 4.9 3/4
3 8 TOP DRAGON Closed strongly TT A Atzeni · W Y So 7 4.2 2
4 7 CHIU CHOW SPIRIT Closed strongly B-/TT M Guyon · K L Man 9 12.0 2-1/2
5 10 WINDLORD CP-/XB-/H1/TT1 M Chadwick · W K Mo 2 31.0 2-3/4
6 9 KARMA Closed strongly TT M L Yeung · C Fownes 6 15.0 3
7 11 DARYL FLASH B- M F Poon · Y S Tsui 10 54.0 3-1/2
8 3 LO RIDER H-/SR- H Bentley · C Fownes 5 24.0 5-1/4
9 6 WINFIELD Led early B-/H1/XB1 L Hewitson · M Newnham 4 5.8 8-1/4
10 5 YOUNG CHAMPION B/E2 K Teetan · J Size 8 13.0 8-1/2
4 VOYAGE SAMURAI B K C Leung · F C Lor

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SAGACIOUS LIFE2. SOLEIL FIGHTER+0.75L3. TOP DRAGON+2L4. CHIU CHOW SPIRIT+2.5L5. WINDLORD+2.75L6. KARMA+3L7. DARYL FLASH+3.5L8. LO RIDER+5.25L9. WINFIELD+8.25L10. YOUNG CHAMPION+8.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick SAGACIOUS LIFE (35.0%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 SAGACIOUS LIFE 35.0% 2.86 1
2 8 TOP DRAGON 16.7% 5.97 3
3 2 SOLEIL FIGHTER 14.7% 6.78 2
4 5 YOUNG CHAMPION 6.8% 14.68 10
5 7 CHIU CHOW SPIRIT 5.3% 19.01 4
6 3 LO RIDER 5.2% 19.31 8
7 9 KARMA 5.2% 19.35 6
8 6 WINFIELD 4.4% 22.73 9
9 10 WINDLORD 3.8% 26.44 5
10 11 DARYL FLASH 2.9% 34.16 7
SAGACIOUS LIFE — wonTOP DRAGONSOLEIL FIGHTERYOUNG CHAMPIONCHIU CHOW SPIRITLO RIDERKARMAWINFIELDWINDLORDDARYL FLASH

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 35

PLACE

1 19.5

2 16

8 15.5

QUINELLA

1,2 116

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 38

1,8 42.5

2,8 38.5

FORECAST

1,2 152

TIERCE

1,2,8 409

TRIO

1,2,8 88

FIRST 4

1,2,7,8 282

QUARTET

1,2,8,7 4,107

All pools (4 more)

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

2,4,11/1,2,4,8 703

6TH DOUBLE

11/1,4 194

11/2 51.5

TRIPLE TRIO

1,3,13/2,4,11/1,2,4,8 84,261

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

1,3,13/2,4,11/Any Combination 471