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Sha Tin · 2026-01-04 · 15:35

LEIGHTON HANDICAP

Race 7

Class 2 GOOD 1600m Course C 10 runners

Result

Official · 1:34.09
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 SAGACIOUS LIFE Closed strongly TT 1:34.09 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · P C Ng 3 3.5 —
2 2 SOLEIL FIGHTER XB H Bowman · D A Hayes 1 4.9 3/4
3 8 TOP DRAGON Closed strongly TT A Atzeni · W Y So 7 4.2 2
4 7 CHIU CHOW SPIRIT Closed strongly B-/TT M Guyon · K L Man 9 12.0 2-1/2
5 10 WINDLORD CP-/XB-/H1/TT1 M Chadwick · W K Mo 2 31.0 2-3/4
6 9 KARMA Closed strongly TT M L Yeung · C Fownes 6 15.0 3
7 11 DARYL FLASH B- M F Poon · Y S Tsui 10 54.0 3-1/2
8 3 LO RIDER H-/SR- H Bentley · C Fownes 5 24.0 5-1/4
9 6 WINFIELD Led early B-/H1/XB1 L Hewitson · M Newnham 4 5.8 8-1/4
10 5 YOUNG CHAMPION B/E2 K Teetan · J Size 8 13.0 8-1/2
— 4 VOYAGE SAMURAI B K C Leung · F C Lor — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 7 ("LEIGHTON HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-01-04 was Class 2 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. SAGACIOUS LIFE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by P C Ng, won, with SOLEIL FIGHTER second and TOP DRAGON third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.5 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SAGACIOUS LIFE—2. SOLEIL FIGHTER+0.75L3. TOP DRAGON+2L4. CHIU CHOW SPIRIT+2.5L5. WINDLORD+2.75L6. KARMA+3L7. DARYL FLASH+3.5L8. LO RIDER+5.25L9. WINFIELD+8.25L10. YOUNG CHAMPION+8.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick SAGACIOUS LIFE (35.0%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 SAGACIOUS LIFE 35.0% 2.86 1
2 8 TOP DRAGON 16.7% 5.97 3
3 2 SOLEIL FIGHTER 14.7% 6.78 2
4 5 YOUNG CHAMPION 6.8% 14.68 10
5 7 CHIU CHOW SPIRIT 5.3% 19.01 4
6 3 LO RIDER 5.2% 19.31 8
7 9 KARMA 5.2% 19.35 6
8 6 WINFIELD 4.4% 22.73 9
9 10 WINDLORD 3.8% 26.44 5
10 11 DARYL FLASH 2.9% 34.16 7
SAGACIOUS LIFE — wonTOP DRAGONSOLEIL FIGHTERYOUNG CHAMPIONCHIU CHOW SPIRITLO RIDERKARMAWINFIELDWINDLORDDARYL FLASH

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 35

PLACE

1 19.5

2 16

8 15.5

QUINELLA

1,2 116

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 38

1,8 42.5

2,8 38.5

FORECAST

1,2 152

TIERCE

1,2,8 409

TRIO

1,2,8 88

FIRST 4

1,2,7,8 282

QUARTET

1,2,8,7 4,107

All pools (4 more)

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

2,4,11/1,2,4,8 703

6TH DOUBLE

11/1,4 194

11/2 51.5

TRIPLE TRIO

1,3,13/2,4,11/1,2,4,8 84,261

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

1,3,13/2,4,11/Any Combination 471