Sha Tin · 2026-01-04 · 08:40
TAI TONG SHAN HANDICAP
Race 9
Race 9 ("TAI TONG SHAN HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-01-04 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. VICTORY SKY, ridden by Z Purton and trained by P F Yiu, won, with SWIFT ASCEND second and BLAZING WIND third. Victory came as the 3.0 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | VICTORY SKY TT 1:07.87 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 3 | 3.0 | — |
| 2 | 1 | SWIFT ASCEND B/TT H Bowman · D Eustace | H Bowman | D Eustace | 2 | 3.8 | 2 |
| 3 | 7 | BLAZING WIND B/TT M Guyon · C S Shum | M Guyon | C S Shum | 11 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 9 | ARMOUR WAR EAGLE CP/TT A Atzeni · M Newnham | A Atzeni | M Newnham | 5 | 14.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 3 | MUST GO E/PC/TT D B McMonagle · J Size | D B McMonagle | J Size | 1 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 12 | HERBAL STAR H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 8 | 45.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 4 | SUPER JOY N FUN XB/TT A Badel · C W Chang | A Badel | C W Chang | 12 | 14.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 11 | GOOD LUCK BABE B1/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 10 | 13.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 6 | ARIEL B/TT R Kingscote · D A Hayes | R Kingscote | D A Hayes | 6 | 52.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 8 | FUN N FUN TOGETHER B M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 4 | 9.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 10 | GIANT LEAP B K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 9 | 19.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 12 | 2 | DRAGON FOUR SEAS B C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 7 | 92.0 | 53-1/2 |
| — | 0 | FLAMING RABBIT SR/XB · D J Whyte | — | D J Whyte | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | MASTER OF ALL B/TT · W Y So | — | W Y So | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | VICTORY SKY | 37.3% | 2.68 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | SWIFT ASCEND | 11.8% | 8.51 | 2 |
| 3 | 9 | ARMOUR WAR EAGLE | 9.7% | 10.27 | 4 |
| 4 | 8 | FUN N FUN TOGETHER | 8.0% | 12.52 | 10 |
| 5 | 7 | BLAZING WIND | 7.5% | 13.31 | 3 |
| 6 | 3 | MUST GO | 6.5% | 15.39 | 5 |
| 7 | 10 | GIANT LEAP | 5.3% | 18.86 | 11 |
| 8 | 4 | SUPER JOY N FUN | 5.0% | 20.00 | 7 |
| 9 | 11 | GOOD LUCK BABE | 3.8% | 26.06 | 8 |
| 10 | 2 | DRAGON FOUR SEAS | 2.4% | 40.82 | 12 |
| 11 | 6 | ARIEL | 1.9% | 53.34 | 9 |
| 12 | 12 | HERBAL STAR | 0.8% | 124.20 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 30
PLACE
1 15
5 15.5
7 34.5
QUINELLA
1,5 69
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 29
1,7 84.5
5,7 62.5
FORECAST
5,1 122
TIERCE
5,1,7 762
TRIO
1,5,7 194
FIRST 4
1,5,7,9 458
QUARTET
5,1,7,9 5,850
All pools (2 more)
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
3,6,10/1,5,7 31,861
8TH DOUBLE
10/1 150
10/5 387