Sha Tin · 2026-01-04 · 14:35
BROADWOOD HANDICAP
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | GALLANT EPOCH Closed strongly B/TT 1:21.36 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Guyon · K W Lui | M Guyon | K W Lui | 7 | 3.7 | — |
| 2 | 1 | MONARCH COUNTY Closed strongly B/TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 1 | 7.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 13 | ABSOLUTE HONOUR Closed strongly B/TT A Atzeni · A S Cruz | A Atzeni | A S Cruz | 6 | 23.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | CITY THUNDER Closed strongly TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 9 | 5.3 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 7 | SMILING FALCON Closed strongly CP H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 10 | 11.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 10 | ONE LOVE Closed strongly E M L Yeung · J Size | M L Yeung | J Size | 4 | 62.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 7 | 9 | MAZING GRACE Closed strongly H R Kingscote · C W Chang | R Kingscote | C W Chang | 3 | 49.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 8 | 14 | TOP TO SKY Led early CP K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 11 | 34.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | JUSTIFY YOURSELF CP C L Chau · W K Mo | C L Chau | W K Mo | 13 | 123.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 10 | 11 | GOOD CHAP Closed strongly CP L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 2 | 17.0 | 10 |
| 11 | 8 | LUCKY MAN BO/H B Avdulla · D A Hayes | B Avdulla | D A Hayes | 14 | 5.5 | 12-1/4 |
| 12 | 12 | HAPPY BUDDIES TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 5 | 65.0 | 13 |
| 13 | 6 | LUCKY FIELD B/TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 8 | 119.0 | 14-1/2 |
| 14 | 4 | WORLD HERO CP-/B2 L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 12 | 6.2 | 18-1/2 |
| — | 0 | WINNING NOW B · F C Lor | — | F C Lor | — | — | — |
| — | 4 | JOLLY BRILLIANT B M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 12 | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 ("BROADWOOD HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-01-04 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. GALLANT EPOCH, ridden by M Guyon and trained by K W Lui, won, with MONARCH COUNTY second and ABSOLUTE HONOUR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.7 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | CITY THUNDER | 26.1% | 3.83 | 4 |
| 2 | 3 | GALLANT EPOCH | 13.1% | 7.65 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | MONARCH COUNTY | 12.1% | 8.26 | 2 |
| 4 | 11 | GOOD CHAP | 8.6% | 11.69 | 10 |
| 5 | 8 | LUCKY MAN | 7.9% | 12.67 | 11 |
| 6 | 4 | WORLD HERO | 7.4% | 13.47 | 14 |
| 7 | 12 | HAPPY BUDDIES | 5.4% | 18.51 | 12 |
| 8 | 7 | SMILING FALCON | 4.6% | 21.96 | 5 |
| 9 | 14 | TOP TO SKY | 4.1% | 24.31 | 8 |
| 10 | 9 | MAZING GRACE | 3.4% | 29.29 | 7 |
| 11 | 13 | ABSOLUTE HONOUR | 3.2% | 30.80 | 3 |
| 12 | 10 | ONE LOVE | 1.5% | 66.57 | 6 |
| 13 | 6 | LUCKY FIELD | 1.3% | 74.78 | 13 |
| 14 | 5 | JUSTIFY YOURSELF | 1.3% | 76.62 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 37
PLACE
1 19
3 15
13 56
QUINELLA
1,3 113.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 46
1,13 190
3,13 124
FORECAST
3,1 215
TIERCE
3,1,13 2,717
TRIO
1,3,13 661
FIRST 4
1,2,3,13 728
QUARTET
3,1,13,2 16,166
All pools (3 more)
1ST TREBLE
10/5/1 655
10/5/3 2,363
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
5,9,12/1,3,13 45,579
4TH DOUBLE
5/1 34.5
5/3 135