Sha Tin · 2026-01-04 · 05:00
TSAM CHUK WAN HANDICAP
Race 2
Race 2 ("TSAM CHUK WAN HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-01-04 was Class 4 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. SIGHT HERMOSO, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by J Size, won, with LAHORE second and LIVE WIRE third. The 2.2 favourite TURQUOISE VELOCITY finished 11th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SIGHT HERMOSO 0:56.87 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 7 | 4.8 | — |
| 2 | 12 | LAHORE B-/XB-/V1/TT A Badel · J Richards | A Badel | J Richards | 10 | 17.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 6 | LIVE WIRE XB1 Z Purton · D J Whyte | Z Purton | D J Whyte | 14 | 4.6 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | COMET RADIANCE TT1 Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 8 | 24.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 13 | CONSPIRATOR L Hewitson · B Crawford | L Hewitson | B Crawford | 3 | 39.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 14 | GOLDEN FRIENDSHIP B/TT C L Chau · K H Ting | C L Chau | K H Ting | 2 | 29.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 11 | ZOUPER FELLOW TT1 L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 6 | 127.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 3 | JUSTIFYING TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 5 | 11.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | SUPREME VOYAGER TT1 J Orman · C H Yip | J Orman | C H Yip | 13 | 21.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 7 | LUCKY PLUS K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 1 | 122.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 2 | TURQUOISE VELOCITY M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 11 | 2.2 | 10 |
| 12 | 8 | LUCKY SECRET TT1 A Atzeni · D A Hayes | A Atzeni | D A Hayes | 12 | 70.0 | 10 |
| 13 | 4 | ZETA HEDGE TT1 E C W Wong · C W Chang | E C W Wong | C W Chang | 9 | 61.0 | 12-1/4 |
| — | 0 | SAVVY TWINKLE XB/TT · F C Lor | — | F C Lor | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | I P O BROS B · Y S Tsui | — | Y S Tsui | — | — | — |
| — | 10 | TOP MAESTRO D B McMonagle · P F Yiu | D B McMonagle | P F Yiu | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | LIVE WIRE | 21.3% | 4.69 | 3 |
| 2 | 2 | TURQUOISE VELOCITY | 17.8% | 5.63 | 11 |
| 3 | 14 | GOLDEN FRIENDSHIP | 11.2% | 8.91 | 6 |
| 4 | 3 | JUSTIFYING | 9.6% | 10.41 | 8 |
| 5 | 1 | SIGHT HERMOSO | 8.0% | 12.55 | 1 |
| 6 | 9 | SUPREME VOYAGER | 7.0% | 14.26 | 9 |
| 7 | 5 | COMET RADIANCE | 6.0% | 16.75 | 4 |
| 8 | 8 | LUCKY SECRET | 5.3% | 18.95 | 12 |
| 9 | 4 | ZETA HEDGE | 4.7% | 21.14 | 13 |
| 10 | 12 | LAHORE | 3.1% | 32.40 | 2 |
| 11 | 13 | CONSPIRATOR | 2.7% | 37.73 | 5 |
| 12 | 7 | LUCKY PLUS | 2.1% | 48.76 | 10 |
| 13 | 11 | ZOUPER FELLOW | 1.4% | 73.38 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 48.5
PLACE
1 13.5
6 18.5
12 32.5
QUINELLA
1,12 235.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 41.5
1,12 71
6,12 99
FORECAST
1,12 531
TIERCE
1,12,6 3,065
TRIO
1,6,12 495
FIRST 4
1,5,6,12 1,615
QUARTET
1,12,6,5 32,796
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
14/1 495.5
14/12 251.5