Sha Tin · 2026-01-04 · 08:05
THE BAUHINIA SPRINT TROPHY (HANDICAP)
Race 8
Race 8 ("THE BAUHINIA SPRINT TROPHY (HANDICAP)") at Sha Tin on 2026-01-04 was Group 3 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. STELLAR EXPRESS, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by J Size, won, with COLOURFUL KING second and INVINCIBLE SAGE third. The 1.8 favourite COLOURFUL KING finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | STELLAR EXPRESS B 0:55.85 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 5 | 13.0 | — |
| 2 | 6 | COLOURFUL KING TT Z Purton · D Eustace | Z Purton | D Eustace | 4 | 1.8 | 3 |
| 3 | 3 | INVINCIBLE SAGE CP J Orman · D J Hall | J Orman | D J Hall | 6 | 45.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 4 | 2 | WUNDERBAR E H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 2 | 4.4 | 4-1/2 |
| 5 | 4 | MAGIC CONTROL TT C L Chau · W K Mo | C L Chau | W K Mo | 3 | 9.7 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 11 | WE ARE HERO V/TT E C W Wong · K L Man | E C W Wong | K L Man | 10 | 35.0 | 6 |
| 7 | 1 | BEAUTY WAVES TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 7 | 17.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 5 | VICTOR THE WINNER B/TT K C Leung · P C Ng | K C Leung | P C Ng | 9 | 61.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 9 | 7 | LADY'S CHOICE B M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 1 | 54.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | BABY CRYSTAL B/TT M L Yeung · B Crawford | M L Yeung | B Crawford | 8 | 15.0 | 9 |
| 11 | 9 | CHATEAUNEUF B/TT H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 11 | 22.0 | 10-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | COLOURFUL KING | 42.3% | 2.36 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | WUNDERBAR | 9.1% | 11.02 | 4 |
| 3 | 11 | WE ARE HERO | 8.2% | 12.27 | 6 |
| 4 | 10 | STELLAR EXPRESS | 7.9% | 12.69 | 1 |
| 5 | 4 | MAGIC CONTROL | 7.6% | 13.23 | 5 |
| 6 | 7 | LADY'S CHOICE | 6.5% | 15.32 | 9 |
| 7 | 9 | CHATEAUNEUF | 5.4% | 18.45 | 11 |
| 8 | 8 | BABY CRYSTAL | 4.5% | 22.35 | 10 |
| 9 | 1 | BEAUTY WAVES | 3.5% | 28.20 | 7 |
| 10 | 3 | INVINCIBLE SAGE | 2.8% | 36.04 | 3 |
| 11 | 5 | VICTOR THE WINNER | 2.3% | 43.51 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 139
PLACE
3 94
6 11
10 33
QUINELLA
6,10 117.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 156
3,10 757.5
6,10 56.5
FORECAST
10,6 424
TIERCE
10,6,3 9,306
TRIO
3,6,10 1,217
FIRST 4
2,3,6,10 1,148
QUARTET
10,6,3,2 46,395
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
1,4/6 11
1,4/10 558.5