沙田 · 2026-01-04 · 05:00
TSAM CHUK WAN HANDICAP
第 2場
2026-01-04沙田第2場「TSAM CHUK WAN HANDICAP」，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由B Avdulla策騎、J Size訓練的SIGHT HERMOSO勝出。LAHORE獲得亞軍；LIVE WIRE獲得季軍。2.2倍大熱門TURQUOISE VELOCITY跑獲第11名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SIGHT HERMOSO 0:56.87 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 7 | 4.8 | — |
| 2 | 12 | LAHORE B-/XB-/V1/TT A Badel · J Richards | A Badel | J Richards | 10 | 17.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 6 | LIVE WIRE XB1 Z Purton · D J Whyte | Z Purton | D J Whyte | 14 | 4.6 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | COMET RADIANCE TT1 Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 8 | 24.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 13 | CONSPIRATOR L Hewitson · B Crawford | L Hewitson | B Crawford | 3 | 39.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 14 | GOLDEN FRIENDSHIP B/TT C L Chau · K H Ting | C L Chau | K H Ting | 2 | 29.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 11 | ZOUPER FELLOW TT1 L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 6 | 127.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 3 | JUSTIFYING TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 5 | 11.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | SUPREME VOYAGER TT1 J Orman · C H Yip | J Orman | C H Yip | 13 | 21.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 7 | LUCKY PLUS K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 1 | 122.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 2 | TURQUOISE VELOCITY M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 11 | 2.2 | 10 |
| 12 | 8 | LUCKY SECRET TT1 A Atzeni · D A Hayes | A Atzeni | D A Hayes | 12 | 70.0 | 10 |
| 13 | 4 | ZETA HEDGE TT1 E C W Wong · C W Chang | E C W Wong | C W Chang | 9 | 61.0 | 12-1/4 |
| — | 0 | SAVVY TWINKLE XB/TT · F C Lor | — | F C Lor | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | I P O BROS B · Y S Tsui | — | Y S Tsui | — | — | — |
| — | 10 | TOP MAESTRO D B McMonagle · P F Yiu | D B McMonagle | P F Yiu | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | LIVE WIRE | 21.3% | 4.69 | 3 |
| 2 | 2 | TURQUOISE VELOCITY | 17.8% | 5.63 | 11 |
| 3 | 14 | GOLDEN FRIENDSHIP | 11.2% | 8.91 | 6 |
| 4 | 3 | JUSTIFYING | 9.6% | 10.41 | 8 |
| 5 | 1 | SIGHT HERMOSO | 8.0% | 12.55 | 1 |
| 6 | 9 | SUPREME VOYAGER | 7.0% | 14.26 | 9 |
| 7 | 5 | COMET RADIANCE | 6.0% | 16.75 | 4 |
| 8 | 8 | LUCKY SECRET | 5.3% | 18.95 | 12 |
| 9 | 4 | ZETA HEDGE | 4.7% | 21.14 | 13 |
| 10 | 12 | LAHORE | 3.1% | 32.40 | 2 |
| 11 | 13 | CONSPIRATOR | 2.7% | 37.73 | 5 |
| 12 | 7 | LUCKY PLUS | 2.1% | 48.76 | 10 |
| 13 | 11 | ZOUPER FELLOW | 1.4% | 73.38 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 48.5
PLACE
1 13.5
6 18.5
12 32.5
QUINELLA
1,12 235.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 41.5
1,12 71
6,12 99
FORECAST
1,12 531
TIERCE
1,12,6 3,065
TRIO
1,6,12 495
FIRST 4
1,5,6,12 1,615
QUARTET
1,12,6,5 32,796
全部彩池（另 1 項）
1ST DOUBLE
14/1 495.5
14/12 251.5