沙田 · 2026-01-04 · 04:30
TAI LAM HANDICAP
第 1場
2026-01-04沙田第1場「TAI LAM HANDICAP」，Class 5，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由M Guyon策騎、P F Yiu訓練的THE CONCENTRATION勝出。GALE SAGA獲得亞軍；STERLING WONGCHOY獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.0倍大熱門RATTAN GALAXY跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | THE CONCENTRATION 後段發力 B 1:22.03 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Guyon · P F Yiu | M Guyon | P F Yiu | 10 | 6.1 | — |
| 2 | 7 | GALE SAGA 後段發力 B K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 11 | 8.4 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 2 | STERLING WONGCHOY B H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 6 | 5.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 5 | REWARDING TWINKLE 後段發力 SR/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 2 | 6.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | RATTAN GALAXY CP1/TT Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 5 | 4.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | TELECOM POWER 後段發力 B H Bentley · Y S Tsui | H Bentley | Y S Tsui | 8 | 41.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 6 | WISEMAN 後段發力 CP1/TT D B McMonagle · C S Shum | D B McMonagle | C S Shum | 4 | 30.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 12 | SOMETHING JONAH CP J Orman · D J Hall | J Orman | D J Hall | 3 | 17.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 8 | GOOD PROSPECT 後段發力 H L Ferraris · B Crawford | L Ferraris | B Crawford | 14 | 16.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 13 | CASA LEGEND 後段發力 P/TT M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 12 | 46.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 9 | VON BAER B-/CP2 C L Chau · D A Hayes | C L Chau | D A Hayes | 9 | 13.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | SMART ENGINEER 早段領放 TT1 R Kingscote · K W Lui | R Kingscote | K W Lui | 13 | 99.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 13 | 10 | SUPER PACE SR-/B1/TT D Probert · C Fownes | D Probert | C Fownes | 7 | 55.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 14 | 4 | ONE AND ONLY CP-/XB/B1/TT B Avdulla · W K Mo | B Avdulla | W K Mo | 1 | 25.0 | 15 |
| — | 0 | EXCEED THE WISH · M Newnham | — | M Newnham | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | CARRYON SMILING CP-/TT · W Y So | — | W Y So | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | RATTAN GALAXY | 26.7% | 3.74 | 5 |
| 2 | 2 | STERLING WONGCHOY | 13.9% | 7.18 | 3 |
| 3 | 14 | THE CONCENTRATION | 7.9% | 12.68 | 1 |
| 4 | 8 | GOOD PROSPECT | 7.7% | 12.99 | 9 |
| 5 | 5 | REWARDING TWINKLE | 7.3% | 13.76 | 4 |
| 6 | 7 | GALE SAGA | 5.8% | 17.21 | 2 |
| 7 | 6 | WISEMAN | 5.5% | 18.32 | 7 |
| 8 | 9 | VON BAER | 5.3% | 18.93 | 11 |
| 9 | 12 | SOMETHING JONAH | 5.2% | 19.24 | 8 |
| 10 | 3 | TELECOM POWER | 5.0% | 20.00 | 6 |
| 11 | 13 | CASA LEGEND | 4.2% | 23.98 | 10 |
| 12 | 4 | ONE AND ONLY | 2.9% | 34.72 | 14 |
| 13 | 10 | SUPER PACE | 1.5% | 66.85 | 13 |
| 14 | 11 | SMART ENGINEER | 1.2% | 82.49 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
14 61
PLACE
2 20
7 28
14 23
QUINELLA
7,14 217.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,7 64.5
2,14 59
7,14 83
FORECAST
14,7 625
TIERCE
14,7,2 3,112
TRIO
2,7,14 475
FIRST 4
2,5,7,14 720
QUARTET
14,7,2,5 19,922