沙田 · 2026-01-04 · 06:05
TAI MONG TSAI HANDICAP
第 4場
2026-01-04沙田第4場「TAI MONG TSAI HANDICAP」，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由L Hewitson策騎、M Newnham訓練的SUPREME SEA勝出。MONTA FRUTTA獲得亞軍；JUICY DRAGON獲得季軍。頭馬以4.0倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SUPREME SEA 1:08.38 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 3 | 4.0 | — |
| 2 | 9 | MONTA FRUTTA H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 7 | 8.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 12 | JUICY DRAGON B C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 9 | 8.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | THUNDER PRINCE XB/TT H Bowman · J Richards | H Bowman | J Richards | 6 | 7.2 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | DAY DAY VICTORY A Badel · C W Chang | A Badel | C W Chang | 8 | 5.2 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | BEAUTY THUNDER CP/TT Z Purton · W K Mo | Z Purton | W K Mo | 2 | 8.1 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 10 | GLACIATED B/TT M Guyon · P C Ng | M Guyon | P C Ng | 12 | 7.3 | 6-1/2 |
| 8 | 2 | DAILY TROPHY TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 4 | 24.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 9 | 7 | VIRTUOUS PHANTOM B R Kingscote · C H Yip | R Kingscote | C H Yip | 1 | 24.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 10 | 4 | HINOKAMI KAGURA BO M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 10 | 39.0 | 14-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | TAI VICTORY B1 H T Mo · K H Ting | H T Mo | K H Ting | 5 | 56.0 | 17 |
| 12 | 8 | KOLACHI SR-/CP1/TT D Probert · D J Whyte | D Probert | D J Whyte | 11 | 64.0 | 20 |
| — | 0 | VOYAGE BOSS B · F C Lor | — | F C Lor | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | HONEST WITNESS TT · D A Hayes | — | D A Hayes | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | BEAUTY THUNDER | 20.6% | 4.85 | 6 |
| 2 | 10 | GLACIATED | 16.7% | 6.01 | 7 |
| 3 | 6 | THUNDER PRINCE | 16.0% | 6.25 | 4 |
| 4 | 1 | DAY DAY VICTORY | 8.9% | 11.30 | 5 |
| 5 | 2 | DAILY TROPHY | 8.7% | 11.51 | 8 |
| 6 | 5 | SUPREME SEA | 8.2% | 12.13 | 1 |
| 7 | 12 | JUICY DRAGON | 6.9% | 14.45 | 3 |
| 8 | 4 | HINOKAMI KAGURA | 4.6% | 21.79 | 10 |
| 9 | 9 | MONTA FRUTTA | 3.8% | 26.63 | 2 |
| 10 | 11 | TAI VICTORY | 2.2% | 45.10 | 11 |
| 11 | 8 | KOLACHI | 2.2% | 45.75 | 12 |
| 12 | 7 | VIRTUOUS PHANTOM | 1.3% | 77.33 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 40
PLACE
5 18.5
9 31
12 26
QUINELLA
5,9 229.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,9 78
5,12 65.5
9,12 132
FORECAST
5,9 355
TIERCE
5,9,12 2,251
TRIO
5,9,12 473
FIRST 4
5,6,9,12 992
QUARTET
5,9,12,6 16,262
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3RD DOUBLE
10/5 439
10/9 84.5