沙田 · 2026-01-04 · 06:35
BROADWOOD HANDICAP
第 5場
2026-01-04沙田第5場「BROADWOOD HANDICAP」，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由M Guyon策騎、K W Lui訓練的GALLANT EPOCH勝出。MONARCH COUNTY獲得亞軍；ABSOLUTE HONOUR獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以3.7倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | GALLANT EPOCH 後段發力 B/TT 1:21.36 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Guyon · K W Lui | M Guyon | K W Lui | 7 | 3.7 | — |
| 2 | 1 | MONARCH COUNTY 後段發力 B/TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 1 | 7.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 13 | ABSOLUTE HONOUR 後段發力 B/TT A Atzeni · A S Cruz | A Atzeni | A S Cruz | 6 | 23.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | CITY THUNDER 後段發力 TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 9 | 5.3 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 7 | SMILING FALCON 後段發力 CP H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 10 | 11.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 10 | ONE LOVE 後段發力 E M L Yeung · J Size | M L Yeung | J Size | 4 | 62.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 7 | 9 | MAZING GRACE 後段發力 H R Kingscote · C W Chang | R Kingscote | C W Chang | 3 | 49.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 8 | 14 | TOP TO SKY 早段領放 CP K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 11 | 34.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | JUSTIFY YOURSELF CP C L Chau · W K Mo | C L Chau | W K Mo | 13 | 123.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 10 | 11 | GOOD CHAP 後段發力 CP L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 2 | 17.0 | 10 |
| 11 | 8 | LUCKY MAN BO/H B Avdulla · D A Hayes | B Avdulla | D A Hayes | 14 | 5.5 | 12-1/4 |
| 12 | 12 | HAPPY BUDDIES TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 5 | 65.0 | 13 |
| 13 | 6 | LUCKY FIELD B/TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 8 | 119.0 | 14-1/2 |
| 14 | 4 | WORLD HERO CP-/B2 L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 12 | 6.2 | 18-1/2 |
| — | 0 | WINNING NOW B · F C Lor | — | F C Lor | — | — | — |
| — | 4 | JOLLY BRILLIANT B M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 12 | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | CITY THUNDER | 26.1% | 3.83 | 4 |
| 2 | 3 | GALLANT EPOCH | 13.1% | 7.65 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | MONARCH COUNTY | 12.1% | 8.26 | 2 |
| 4 | 11 | GOOD CHAP | 8.6% | 11.69 | 10 |
| 5 | 8 | LUCKY MAN | 7.9% | 12.67 | 11 |
| 6 | 4 | WORLD HERO | 7.4% | 13.47 | 14 |
| 7 | 12 | HAPPY BUDDIES | 5.4% | 18.51 | 12 |
| 8 | 7 | SMILING FALCON | 4.6% | 21.96 | 5 |
| 9 | 14 | TOP TO SKY | 4.1% | 24.31 | 8 |
| 10 | 9 | MAZING GRACE | 3.4% | 29.29 | 7 |
| 11 | 13 | ABSOLUTE HONOUR | 3.2% | 30.80 | 3 |
| 12 | 10 | ONE LOVE | 1.5% | 66.57 | 6 |
| 13 | 6 | LUCKY FIELD | 1.3% | 74.78 | 13 |
| 14 | 5 | JUSTIFY YOURSELF | 1.3% | 76.62 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 37
PLACE
1 19
3 15
13 56
QUINELLA
1,3 113.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 46
1,13 190
3,13 124
FORECAST
3,1 215
TIERCE
3,1,13 2,717
TRIO
1,3,13 661
FIRST 4
1,2,3,13 728
QUARTET
3,1,13,2 16,166
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST TREBLE
10/5/1 655
10/5/3 2,363
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
5,9,12/1,3,13 45,579
4TH DOUBLE
5/1 34.5
5/3 135