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Sha Tin · 2026-01-18 · 04:30

RUGBY SEVENS 2000M HANDICAP

Race 1

Class 5 GOOD 2000m Course A 14 runners

Race 1 ("RUGBY SEVENS 2000M HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-01-18 was Class 5 over 2000m, run on GOOD going. SUPER HONG KONG, ridden by K Teetan and trained by C H Yip, won, with ROMANTIC FANTASY second and ALL ARE MINE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 5.2 favourite COOL BLUE finished 4th.

Result

Official · 2:03.84
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 10 SUPER HONG KONG Closed strongly B/TT 2:03.84 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · C H Yip 6 7.0
2 5 ROMANTIC FANTASY Closed strongly A Badel · J Richards 10 15.0 3/4
3 6 ALL ARE MINE Closed strongly H/XB A Atzeni · B Crawford 8 9.3 2
4 12 COOL BLUE Closed strongly E/P/TT Z Purton · W Y So 7 5.2 3
5 11 CHATEAU LE PECHE Closed strongly B C L Chau · K H Ting 4 6.1 3
6 13 GOLD TACK CP M F Poon · D J Hall 5 12.0 3-1/4
7 14 LEATHER MASTER V-/B2 M Guyon · K L Man 2 10.0 4
8 9 SMART BEAUTY B/TT J Orman · A S Cruz 3 36.0 5-1/2
9 8 GOLDEN FAIRY Led early L Hewitson · W Y So 11 27.0 5-3/4
10 3 ON THE LASH B/TT L Ferraris · P C Ng 1 11.0 6-1/4
11 7 MEEPMEEP PC-/E/B2/TT B Avdulla · J Size 9 14.0 6-1/2
12 4 PERFECT PAIRING Closed strongly B D B McMonagle · J Size 14 17.0 7-1/4
13 1 IRON LEGION H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz 12 15.0 7-1/2
14 2 FURY AND GOLD TT H Bentley · C H Yip 13 41.0 15
0 MR ALADDIN H/PC/TT · P C Ng
0 STERLING WONGCHOY B · D J Whyte

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SUPER HONG KONG2. ROMANTIC FANTASY+0.75L3. ALL ARE MINE+2L4. COOL BLUE+3L5. CHATEAU LE PECHE+3L6. GOLD TACK+3.25L7. LEATHER MASTER+4L8. SMART BEAUTY+5.5L9. GOLDEN FAIRY+5.75L10. ON THE LASH+6.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick COOL BLUE (17.6%) finished 4th — the winner SUPER HONG KONG was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 12 COOL BLUE 17.6% 5.67 4
2 11 CHATEAU LE PECHE 17.0% 5.90 5
3 3 ON THE LASH 11.6% 8.59 10
4 14 LEATHER MASTER 8.6% 11.64 7
5 10 SUPER HONG KONG 7.3% 13.63 1
6 4 PERFECT PAIRING 6.5% 15.47 12
7 13 GOLD TACK 5.8% 17.13 6
8 1 IRON LEGION 5.4% 18.58 13
9 5 ROMANTIC FANTASY 5.4% 18.67 2
10 7 MEEPMEEP 4.4% 22.92 11
11 6 ALL ARE MINE 3.7% 27.18 3
12 2 FURY AND GOLD 2.5% 40.20 14
13 9 SMART BEAUTY 2.2% 46.31 8
14 8 GOLDEN FAIRY 2.1% 47.26 9
COOL BLUECHATEAU LE PECHEON THE LASHLEATHER MASTERSUPER HONG KONG — wonPERFECT PAIRINGGOLD TACKIRON LEGIONROMANTIC FANTASYMEEPMEEPALL ARE MINEFURY AND GOLDSMART BEAUTYGOLDEN FAIRY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

10 70.5

PLACE

5 49

6 36

10 25.5

QUINELLA

5,10 540

QUINELLA PLACE

5,6 314

5,10 159.5

6,10 119.5

FORECAST

10,5 1,015

TIERCE

10,5,6 15,053

TRIO

5,6,10 3,062

FIRST 4

5,6,10,12 3,752

QUARTET

10,5,6,12 126,242