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Sha Tin · 2026-01-18 · 08:05

SAILING 1200M HANDICAP

Race 8

Class 3 GOOD TO FIRM 1200m Course A 14 runners

Race 8 ("SAILING 1200M HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-01-18 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. PEGAS, ridden by M Guyon and trained by Y S Tsui, won, with AURIO second and LIFELINE EXPRESS third. The 2.2 favourite AURIO finished 2nd.

Result

Official · 1:08.97
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 7 PEGAS TT 1:08.97 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Guyon · Y S Tsui 4 14.0
2 4 AURIO SR/TT J Orman · K L Man 12 2.2 1/2
3 2 LIFELINE EXPRESS E D B McMonagle · J Size 5 11.0 1-1/2
4 11 GOLDENTRONICMIGHTY B/TT M L Yeung · J Richards 3 16.0 1-3/4
5 3 HAROLD WIN V/XB C L Chau · K W Lui 1 6.7 2
6 13 QUARTZ LEGEND TT C Y Ho · C Fownes 7 28.0 3
7 14 GIANT LEAP B M F Poon · P F Yiu 8 49.0 3-1/4
8 8 PI LEGEND B-/TT2 Z Purton · C H Yip 14 6.1 3-1/4
9 6 DANICA'S CHOICE CP- K Teetan · B Crawford 6 51.0 3-3/4
10 5 IGOR STRAVINSKY B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz 2 24.0 4
11 12 LET'S HAVE FUN CP/TT1 E C W Wong · D A Hayes 9 142.0 4-1/2
12 1 JUMBO TREASURE CP/TT K C Leung · W K Mo 13 9.5 5
13 9 LUCKY TOGETHER TT A Badel · F C Lor 10 157.0 5-3/4
14 10 AUTOMATED TT R Kingscote · W Y So 11 104.0 6-1/2
0 HEAVING B/TT · D Eustace
0 YOUNG ARROW CP · D J Whyte

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. PEGAS2. AURIO+0.5L3. LIFELINE EXPRESS+1.5L4. GOLDENTRONICMIGHTY+1.75L5. HAROLD WIN+2L6. QUARTZ LEGEND+3L7. GIANT LEAP+3.25L8. PI LEGEND+3.25L9. DANICA'S CHOICE+3.75L10. IGOR STRAVINSKY+4L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick AURIO (34.5%) finished 2nd — the winner PEGAS was rated #8. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 4 AURIO 34.5% 2.90 2
2 8 PI LEGEND 15.5% 6.44 8
3 3 HAROLD WIN 11.2% 8.91 5
4 2 LIFELINE EXPRESS 6.4% 15.56 3
5 11 GOLDENTRONICMIGHTY 5.7% 17.62 4
6 5 IGOR STRAVINSKY 5.1% 19.45 10
7 1 JUMBO TREASURE 5.1% 19.64 12
8 7 PEGAS 5.0% 20.12 1
9 13 QUARTZ LEGEND 3.2% 30.99 6
10 14 GIANT LEAP 2.3% 43.96 7
11 12 LET'S HAVE FUN 2.2% 44.45 11
12 10 AUTOMATED 1.5% 67.17 14
13 6 DANICA'S CHOICE 1.2% 81.09 9
14 9 LUCKY TOGETHER 0.9% 105.70 13
AURIOPI LEGENDHAROLD WINLIFELINE EXPRESSGOLDENTRONICMIGHTYIGOR STRAVINSKYJUMBO TREASUREPEGAS — wonQUARTZ LEGENDGIANT LEAPLET'S HAVE FUNAUTOMATEDDANICA'S CHOICELUCKY TOGETHER

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 149

PLACE

2 27

4 13

7 30

QUINELLA

4,7 208

QUINELLA PLACE

2,4 47.5

2,7 190

4,7 76.5

FORECAST

7,4 523

TIERCE

7,4,2 2,919

TRIO

2,4,7 409

FIRST 4

2,4,7,11 582

QUARTET

7,4,2,11 18,853

All pools (1 more)

7TH DOUBLE

2/4 22.5

2/7 437.5