沙田 · 2026-01-18 · 08:05
SAILING 1200M HANDICAP
第 8場
2026-01-18沙田第8場「SAILING 1200M HANDICAP」，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由M Guyon策騎、Y S Tsui訓練的PEGAS勝出。AURIO獲得亞軍；LIFELINE EXPRESS獲得季軍。2.2倍大熱門AURIO跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | PEGAS TT 1:08.97 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Guyon · Y S Tsui | M Guyon | Y S Tsui | 4 | 14.0 | — |
| 2 | 4 | AURIO SR/TT J Orman · K L Man | J Orman | K L Man | 12 | 2.2 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 2 | LIFELINE EXPRESS E D B McMonagle · J Size | D B McMonagle | J Size | 5 | 11.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 11 | GOLDENTRONICMIGHTY B/TT M L Yeung · J Richards | M L Yeung | J Richards | 3 | 16.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 3 | HAROLD WIN V/XB C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 1 | 6.7 | 2 |
| 6 | 13 | QUARTZ LEGEND TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 7 | 28.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 14 | GIANT LEAP B M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 8 | 49.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 8 | PI LEGEND B-/TT2 Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 14 | 6.1 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 6 | DANICA'S CHOICE CP- K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 6 | 51.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 5 | IGOR STRAVINSKY B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 2 | 24.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 12 | LET'S HAVE FUN CP/TT1 E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 9 | 142.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 1 | JUMBO TREASURE CP/TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 13 | 9.5 | 5 |
| 13 | 9 | LUCKY TOGETHER TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 10 | 157.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 14 | 10 | AUTOMATED TT R Kingscote · W Y So | R Kingscote | W Y So | 11 | 104.0 | 6-1/2 |
| — | 0 | HEAVING B/TT · D Eustace | — | D Eustace | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | YOUNG ARROW CP · D J Whyte | — | D J Whyte | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | AURIO | 34.5% | 2.90 | 2 |
| 2 | 8 | PI LEGEND | 15.5% | 6.44 | 8 |
| 3 | 3 | HAROLD WIN | 11.2% | 8.91 | 5 |
| 4 | 2 | LIFELINE EXPRESS | 6.4% | 15.56 | 3 |
| 5 | 11 | GOLDENTRONICMIGHTY | 5.7% | 17.62 | 4 |
| 6 | 5 | IGOR STRAVINSKY | 5.1% | 19.45 | 10 |
| 7 | 1 | JUMBO TREASURE | 5.1% | 19.64 | 12 |
| 8 | 7 | PEGAS | 5.0% | 20.12 | 1 |
| 9 | 13 | QUARTZ LEGEND | 3.2% | 30.99 | 6 |
| 10 | 14 | GIANT LEAP | 2.3% | 43.96 | 7 |
| 11 | 12 | LET'S HAVE FUN | 2.2% | 44.45 | 11 |
| 12 | 10 | AUTOMATED | 1.5% | 67.17 | 14 |
| 13 | 6 | DANICA'S CHOICE | 1.2% | 81.09 | 9 |
| 14 | 9 | LUCKY TOGETHER | 0.9% | 105.70 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 149
PLACE
2 27
4 13
7 30
QUINELLA
4,7 208
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 47.5
2,7 190
4,7 76.5
FORECAST
7,4 523
TIERCE
7,4,2 2,919
TRIO
2,4,7 409
FIRST 4
2,4,7,11 582
QUARTET
7,4,2,11 18,853
全部彩池（另 1 項）
7TH DOUBLE
2/4 22.5
2/7 437.5