沙田 · 2026-01-18 · 09:15
FENCING 1400M HANDICAP
第 10場
2026-01-18沙田第10場「FENCING 1400M HANDICAP」，Class 3，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由B Avdulla策騎、D A Hayes訓練的AKASHVANI勝出。SUPER EXPRESS獲得亞軍；DO YOUR PART獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。1.7倍大熱門SUPER EXPRESS跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | AKASHVANI 一路領先 B 1:21.30 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） B Avdulla · D A Hayes | B Avdulla | D A Hayes | 8 | 18.0 | — |
| 2 | 7 | SUPER EXPRESS 後段發力 TT M Guyon · J Size | M Guyon | J Size | 12 | 1.7 | 3 |
| 3 | 6 | DO YOUR PART 後段發力 XB/TT L Ferraris · K W Lui | L Ferraris | K W Lui | 7 | 9.2 | 4-1/4 |
| 4 | 11 | ARMOR GOLDEN EAGLE 後段發力 B2 A Atzeni · M Newnham | A Atzeni | M Newnham | 14 | 97.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 14 | GOOD LUCK BABE 後段發力 B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 3 | 57.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 4 | RIDING TOGETHER TT L Hewitson · D Eustace | L Hewitson | D Eustace | 2 | 29.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 13 | EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS XB K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 13 | 19.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 5 | SUNNY DA BEST 後段發力 TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 11 | 50.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 2 | NEW FUTURE FOLKS 後段發力 P/H1/TT D B McMonagle · C W Chang | D B McMonagle | C W Chang | 9 | 15.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 1 | FLYING FORTRESS XB/TT H Bentley · W K Mo | H Bentley | W K Mo | 1 | 18.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 8 | LUCKY MY WAY 後段發力 B M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 10 | 71.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 12 | TIN FOOK CP Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 5 | 5.2 | 7-1/2 |
| 13 | 10 | HAPPY TERCENTENARY XB1 K C Leung · D J Whyte | K C Leung | D J Whyte | 6 | 118.0 | 8 |
| 14 | 9 | SO YOU WILL TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 4 | 67.0 | 8 |
| — | 0 | HAPPY INDEX · K L Man | — | K L Man | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | GRACIOUS EXPRESS V/TT · P F Yiu | — | P F Yiu | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SUPER EXPRESS | 32.6% | 3.07 | 2 |
| 2 | 12 | TIN FOOK | 14.7% | 6.82 | 12 |
| 3 | 1 | FLYING FORTRESS | 10.6% | 9.47 | 10 |
| 4 | 6 | DO YOUR PART | 10.5% | 9.49 | 3 |
| 5 | 13 | EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS | 4.1% | 24.69 | 7 |
| 6 | 4 | RIDING TOGETHER | 3.9% | 25.67 | 6 |
| 7 | 2 | NEW FUTURE FOLKS | 3.7% | 27.09 | 9 |
| 8 | 3 | AKASHVANI | 3.5% | 28.61 | 1 |
| 9 | 5 | SUNNY DA BEST | 3.4% | 29.47 | 8 |
| 10 | 8 | LUCKY MY WAY | 2.8% | 35.99 | 11 |
| 11 | 11 | ARMOR GOLDEN EAGLE | 2.8% | 36.12 | 4 |
| 12 | 9 | SO YOU WILL | 2.7% | 37.17 | 14 |
| 13 | 14 | GOOD LUCK BABE | 2.6% | 38.24 | 5 |
| 14 | 10 | HAPPY TERCENTENARY | 2.3% | 43.79 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 185.5
PLACE
3 36.5
6 24.5
7 11.5
QUINELLA
3,7 140
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 178
3,7 58
6,7 34.5
FORECAST
3,7 464
TIERCE
3,7,6 3,700
TRIO
3,6,7 340
FIRST 4
3,6,7,11 3,868
QUARTET
3,7,6,11 76,385
全部彩池（另 1 項）
9TH DOUBLE
8/3 1,338.5
8/7 14