沙田 · 2026-01-18 · 05:30
THE 15TH NATIONAL GAMES HONG KONG MEDALLISTS CUP (HANDICAP)
第 3場
2026-01-18沙田第3場「THE 15TH NATIONAL GAMES HONG KONG MEDALLISTS CUP (HANDICAP)」，Class 3，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、J Richards訓練的CITY GOLD BANNER勝出。THE UNIQUE STAR獲得亞軍；BUNDLE OF CHARM獲得季軍。頭馬以3.6倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | CITY GOLD BANNER TT1 0:56.83 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 5 | 3.6 | — |
| 2 | 3 | THE UNIQUE STAR K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 11 | 4.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 6 | BUNDLE OF CHARM A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 4 | 14.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 4 | SIGHT HERMOSO B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 3 | 3.6 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | FAST RESPONDER SR A Atzeni · D J Whyte | A Atzeni | D J Whyte | 9 | 5.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | E HO HO TT C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 7 | 94.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | FUN N FUN TOGETHER B K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 1 | 23.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 1 | WHIZZ KID V/TT H Bentley · A S Cruz | H Bentley | A S Cruz | 6 | 22.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 11 | FORZA LEADER TT R Kingscote · Y S Tsui | R Kingscote | Y S Tsui | 8 | 66.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 5 | CASA OF HONOR M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 2 | 20.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | TACTICAL VICTORY B2 M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 10 | 88.0 | 12-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SIGHT HERMOSO | 37.6% | 2.66 | 4 |
| 2 | 2 | FAST RESPONDER | 16.2% | 6.16 | 5 |
| 3 | 8 | CITY GOLD BANNER | 15.9% | 6.28 | 1 |
| 4 | 3 | THE UNIQUE STAR | 9.3% | 10.78 | 2 |
| 5 | 5 | CASA OF HONOR | 6.5% | 15.49 | 10 |
| 6 | 6 | BUNDLE OF CHARM | 4.0% | 24.98 | 3 |
| 7 | 10 | FUN N FUN TOGETHER | 4.0% | 25.13 | 7 |
| 8 | 1 | WHIZZ KID | 2.5% | 40.73 | 8 |
| 9 | 11 | FORZA LEADER | 2.0% | 49.36 | 9 |
| 10 | 9 | E HO HO | 1.3% | 79.37 | 6 |
| 11 | 7 | TACTICAL VICTORY | 0.8% | 126.57 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 36
PLACE
3 18
6 34.5
8 15.5
QUINELLA
3,8 99.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 99
3,8 40
6,8 77.5
FORECAST
8,3 226
TIERCE
8,3,6 1,912
TRIO
3,6,8 415
FIRST 4
3,4,6,8 253
QUARTET
8,3,6,4 5,737
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,9/3,6,8 15,147
2ND DOUBLE
1/3 20
1/8 125.5