沙田 · 2026-01-18 · 09:50
TENNIS 1600M HANDICAP
第 11場
2026-01-18沙田第11場「TENNIS 1600M HANDICAP」，Class 3，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由Z Purton策騎、K L Man訓練的PATCH OF COSMO勝出。AERODYNAMICS獲得亞軍；POPE CODY獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.9倍大熱門STORMY GROVE跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | PATCH OF COSMO 後段發力 B 1:34.53 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 9 | 4.9 | — |
| 2 | 5 | AERODYNAMICS 後段發力 TT A Atzeni · M Newnham | A Atzeni | M Newnham | 3 | 33.0 | N |
| 3 | 2 | POPE CODY 後段發力 TT J Orman · Y S Tsui | J Orman | Y S Tsui | 10 | 9.7 | 1 |
| 4 | 9 | STORMY GROVE 後段發力 H/TT H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 8 | 3.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 10 | VIOLET STAR 後段發力 SR1/XB1/TT1 B Avdulla · D J Whyte | B Avdulla | D J Whyte | 5 | 67.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 11 | ENDUED 後段發力 E/TT M Guyon · J Size | M Guyon | J Size | 12 | 4.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | FORTUNE BOY 後段發力 B K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 11 | 8.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 8 | 14 | SUPREME MASTERMIND H M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 7 | 21.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | KA YING ATTACK 早段領放 B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 1 | 11.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | FIVEFORTWO TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 13 | 45.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 6 | KING LOTUS 後段發力 CP L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 14 | 20.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 13 | LUCKY CANDY H/TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 2 | 26.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 13 | 4 | LOCH TAY BO/XB R Kingscote · D Eustace | R Kingscote | D Eustace | 6 | 44.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 14 | 8 | SHAMZ TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 4 | 127.0 | 19 |
| — | 0 | SILO TT · J Richards | — | J Richards | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | FLYING LUCK V/TT · C Fownes | — | C Fownes | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | PATCH OF COSMO | 18.4% | 5.42 | 1 |
| 2 | 9 | STORMY GROVE | 14.4% | 6.96 | 4 |
| 3 | 3 | KA YING ATTACK | 13.6% | 7.34 | 9 |
| 4 | 11 | ENDUED | 10.1% | 9.95 | 6 |
| 5 | 7 | FORTUNE BOY | 8.2% | 12.18 | 7 |
| 6 | 2 | POPE CODY | 7.1% | 14.10 | 3 |
| 7 | 6 | KING LOTUS | 6.4% | 15.75 | 11 |
| 8 | 12 | FIVEFORTWO | 5.5% | 18.35 | 10 |
| 9 | 4 | LOCH TAY | 3.9% | 25.37 | 13 |
| 10 | 5 | AERODYNAMICS | 3.8% | 26.29 | 2 |
| 11 | 14 | SUPREME MASTERMIND | 3.6% | 27.97 | 8 |
| 12 | 10 | VIOLET STAR | 2.5% | 40.65 | 5 |
| 13 | 13 | LUCKY CANDY | 1.5% | 66.88 | 12 |
| 14 | 8 | SHAMZ | 1.1% | 87.62 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 49
PLACE
1 20.5
2 29.5
5 87
QUINELLA
1,5 1,201.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 96
1,5 362
2,5 301.5
FORECAST
1,5 1,765
TIERCE
1,5,2 14,300
TRIO
1,2,5 3,772
FIRST 4
1,2,5,9 3,480
QUARTET
1,5,2,9 111,456
全部彩池（另 4 項）
10TH DOUBLE
3/1 1,064
3/5 487
2ND TREBLE
8/3/1 5,348
8/3/5 5,842
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
3,6,7/1,2,5 177,542
SIX UP
5/2/7/8/3/1 1,379,060
5,12/2,5/4,7/8,10/3,7/1,5 1,499
3 [C L Chau] —
4 [K W Lui] —