沙田 · 2026-01-18 · 08:40
FENCING 1400M HANDICAP
第 9場
2026-01-18沙田第9場「FENCING 1400M HANDICAP」,Class 3,途程1400米,跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由C L Chau策騎、W K Mo訓練的EMBLAZON勝出。FLASH CURRENT獲得亞軍;JUNEAU PRIDE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以4.1倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | EMBLAZON 後段發力 TT 1:21.69 ▶ 重播 (在新分頁開啟) C L Chau · W K Mo | C L Chau | W K Mo | 5 | 4.1 | — |
| 2 | 10 | FLASH CURRENT 後段發力 TT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 7 | 15.0 | SH |
| 3 | 1 | JUNEAU PRIDE 後段發力 H B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 9 | 4.6 | SH |
| 4 | 11 | OUTGATE TT M Guyon · A S Cruz | M Guyon | A S Cruz | 11 | 6.3 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 9 | ONE MORE 早段領放 SR/TT1 L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 8 | 8.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 5 | MIGHTY MASTS 後段發力 TT A Atzeni · W Y So | A Atzeni | W Y So | 14 | 11.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | TOURBILLON PRINCE CP1/TT R Kingscote · C W Chang | R Kingscote | C W Chang | 10 | 61.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 6 | CHILL EASY M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 3 | 23.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 7 | SUPERB KID 後段發力 B K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 6 | 55.0 | 3 |
| 10 | 2 | GLITTERING LEGEND 後段發力 XB Z Purton · D Eustace | Z Purton | D Eustace | 2 | 11.0 | 3 |
| 11 | 13 | FORZA TORO TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 13 | 11.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 12 | 14 | STELLAR SWIFT TT H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 12 | 21.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 13 | 12 | REAL GENTLEMAN H/CP2/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 1 | 136.0 | 11 |
| 14 | 3 | FLAMING RABBIT SR/XB J Orman · D J Whyte | J Orman | D J Whyte | 4 | 88.0 | 18-3/4 |
| — | 0 | WUKONG JEWELLERY TT · J Size | — | J Size | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | A TIME FOR US B1/TT · K W Lui | — | K W Lui | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | EMBLAZON | 32.9% | 3.04 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | GLITTERING LEGEND | 12.0% | 8.32 | 10 |
| 3 | 5 | MIGHTY MASTS | 8.7% | 11.43 | 6 |
| 4 | 1 | JUNEAU PRIDE | 8.1% | 12.34 | 3 |
| 5 | 11 | OUTGATE | 7.8% | 12.82 | 4 |
| 6 | 9 | ONE MORE | 7.4% | 13.57 | 5 |
| 7 | 13 | FORZA TORO | 5.5% | 18.19 | 11 |
| 8 | 10 | FLASH CURRENT | 4.5% | 22.07 | 2 |
| 9 | 3 | FLAMING RABBIT | 3.0% | 32.87 | 14 |
| 10 | 6 | CHILL EASY | 2.7% | 37.14 | 8 |
| 11 | 14 | STELLAR SWIFT | 2.6% | 37.83 | 12 |
| 12 | 7 | SUPERB KID | 2.2% | 45.40 | 9 |
| 13 | 4 | TOURBILLON PRINCE | 1.5% | 67.04 | 7 |
| 14 | 12 | REAL GENTLEMAN | 1.0% | 104.34 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬:橫軸為模型概率,縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致;金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算,並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 41
PLACE
1 17
8 16.5
10 33.5
QUINELLA
8,10 353.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 37.5
1,10 123
8,10 115
FORECAST
8,10 453
TIERCE
8,10,1 2,406
TRIO
1,8,10 384
FIRST 4
1,8,10,11 811
QUARTET
8,10,1,11 15,133
全部彩池(另 2 項)
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,7/1,8,10 10,810
8TH DOUBLE
7/8 443
7/10 221