沙田 · 2026-01-18 · 06:05
SWIMMING 1400M HANDICAP
第 4場
2026-01-18沙田第4場「SWIMMING 1400M HANDICAP」，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由C L Chau策騎、K W Lui訓練的LUCKY TWIN STARS勝出。ABSOLUTE HONOUR獲得亞軍；WIN SPEED獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.8倍大熱門ABSOLUTE HONOUR跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | LUCKY TWIN STARS 後段發力 CP 1:21.62 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 9 | 17.0 | — |
| 2 | 12 | ABSOLUTE HONOUR 後段發力 B/TT A Atzeni · A S Cruz | A Atzeni | A S Cruz | 6 | 4.8 | N |
| 3 | 14 | WIN SPEED V K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 8 | 12.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | RAGING RAPIDS 後段發力 TT B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 13 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 3 | EMBRACE ABERDEEN M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 5 | 6.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 2 | DEVAS TWELVE 早段領放 TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 14 | 5.8 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 10 | FLYING AMANI 後段發力 XB Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 4 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 13 | WINNING DIAMOND 後段發力 M L Yeung · C H Yip | M L Yeung | C H Yip | 11 | 59.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 7 | LEADING AGILITY H/TT D B McMonagle · W K Mo | D B McMonagle | W K Mo | 3 | 9.8 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 1 | TAOGETHER M Guyon · Y S Tsui | M Guyon | Y S Tsui | 10 | 18.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 8 | ONE LOVE 後段發力 E H Bentley · J Size | H Bentley | J Size | 7 | 36.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 12 | 9 | CIRCUIT CENTURY B/XB R Kingscote · D J Whyte | R Kingscote | D J Whyte | 2 | 52.0 | 7 |
| 13 | 11 | NAMJONG KINGDOM SR/TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 1 | 9.5 | 8-1/2 |
| 14 | 6 | POWER PATCH K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 12 | 56.0 | 9-1/4 |
| — | 0 | TAI VICTORY B · K H Ting | — | K H Ting | — | — | — |
| — | 8 | GOLDEN DREAM B L Ferraris · D A Hayes | L Ferraris | D A Hayes | 7 | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | ABSOLUTE HONOUR | 14.8% | 6.75 | 2 |
| 2 | 7 | LEADING AGILITY | 12.0% | 8.37 | 9 |
| 3 | 5 | RAGING RAPIDS | 11.0% | 9.10 | 4 |
| 4 | 10 | FLYING AMANI | 10.1% | 9.86 | 7 |
| 5 | 2 | DEVAS TWELVE | 9.8% | 10.18 | 6 |
| 6 | 3 | EMBRACE ABERDEEN | 9.6% | 10.42 | 5 |
| 7 | 1 | TAOGETHER | 8.5% | 11.75 | 10 |
| 8 | 14 | WIN SPEED | 5.1% | 19.42 | 3 |
| 9 | 4 | LUCKY TWIN STARS | 4.9% | 20.21 | 1 |
| 10 | 8 | ONE LOVE | 3.4% | 29.41 | 11 |
| 11 | 11 | NAMJONG KINGDOM | 3.2% | 31.19 | 13 |
| 12 | 13 | WINNING DIAMOND | 2.8% | 36.22 | 8 |
| 13 | 9 | CIRCUIT CENTURY | 2.6% | 38.94 | 12 |
| 14 | 6 | POWER PATCH | 2.1% | 46.88 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 179
PLACE
4 52.5
12 18
14 42
QUINELLA
4,12 683
QUINELLA PLACE
4,12 211.5
4,14 391
12,14 111
FORECAST
4,12 1,280
TIERCE
4,12,14 14,110
TRIO
4,12,14 1,798
FIRST 4
4,5,12,14 2,778
QUARTET
4,12,14,5 78,989
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3RD DOUBLE
8/4 405.5
8/12 34.5