沙田 · 2026-01-18 · 06:35
CYCLING 1200M HANDICAP
第 5場
2026-01-18沙田第5場「CYCLING 1200M HANDICAP」，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由C Y Ho策騎、K W Lui訓練的HOT DELIGHT勝出。CONRAD PATCH獲得亞軍；SOLID CAR獲得季軍。4.4倍大熱門CLOUD NINE跑獲第7名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | HOT DELIGHT TT1 1:08.63 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 14 | 4.9 | — |
| 2 | 4 | CONRAD PATCH TT1 C L Chau · W K Mo | C L Chau | W K Mo | 3 | 16.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 2 | SOLID CAR B1 K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 5 | 4.8 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | MALPENSA TT J Orman · W Y So | J Orman | W Y So | 10 | 13.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 5 | 14 | RIDING HIGH CP L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 12 | 7.1 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 12 | VIVA FIRECRACKER TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 4 | 22.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | CLOUD NINE XB L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 2 | 4.4 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | MEGA MASTERMIND B/TT B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 7 | 23.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 11 | VICTORY CHAMPION CP K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 9 | 7.3 | 6 |
| 10 | 10 | LEAN MASTER B/TT H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 13 | 37.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 13 | MASTER OF HUMOR CP1/TT- M L Yeung · B Crawford | M L Yeung | B Crawford | 1 | 93.0 | 13-1/4 |
| 12 | 9 | FLYING CHRISTIE H-/B/TT A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 11 | 134.0 | 14-1/2 |
| 13 | 1 | DAILY TROPHY TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 6 | 65.0 | 14-1/2 |
| 14 | 5 | EXTRAORDINARY GALL M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 8 | 60.0 | 14-3/4 |
| — | 0 | LITTLE MONSTER H/TT · W K Mo | — | W K Mo | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | SUPREME FEELING · D A Hayes | — | D A Hayes | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | CLOUD NINE | 25.0% | 3.99 | 7 |
| 2 | 6 | HOT DELIGHT | 18.0% | 5.56 | 1 |
| 3 | 14 | RIDING HIGH | 10.7% | 9.30 | 5 |
| 4 | 4 | CONRAD PATCH | 9.4% | 10.67 | 2 |
| 5 | 2 | SOLID CAR | 7.2% | 13.98 | 3 |
| 6 | 11 | VICTORY CHAMPION | 7.1% | 14.01 | 9 |
| 7 | 12 | VIVA FIRECRACKER | 4.4% | 22.94 | 6 |
| 8 | 7 | MALPENSA | 3.4% | 29.27 | 4 |
| 9 | 1 | DAILY TROPHY | 3.4% | 29.31 | 13 |
| 10 | 8 | MEGA MASTERMIND | 3.3% | 30.10 | 8 |
| 11 | 5 | EXTRAORDINARY GALL | 2.9% | 34.31 | 14 |
| 12 | 10 | LEAN MASTER | 2.8% | 35.31 | 10 |
| 13 | 13 | MASTER OF HUMOR | 1.2% | 82.71 | 11 |
| 14 | 9 | FLYING CHRISTIE | 1.1% | 91.91 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 49.5
PLACE
2 16
4 48.5
6 22.5
QUINELLA
4,6 471.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 111.5
2,6 48.5
4,6 155
FORECAST
6,4 847
TIERCE
6,4,2 3,368
TRIO
2,4,6 692
FIRST 4
2,4,6,7 2,042
QUARTET
6,4,2,7 36,752
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST TREBLE
8/4/4 1,595
8/4/6 2,559
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
4,12,14/2,4,6 67,868
4TH DOUBLE
4/4 314.5
4/6 541