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Sha Tin · 2026-01-18 · 06:35

CYCLING 1200M HANDICAP

Race 5

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 1200m Course A 14 runners

Race 5 ("CYCLING 1200M HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-01-18 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. HOT DELIGHT, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won, with CONRAD PATCH second and SOLID CAR third. The 4.4 favourite CLOUD NINE finished 7th.

Result

Official · 1:08.63
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 6 HOT DELIGHT TT1 1:08.63 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui 14 4.9
2 4 CONRAD PATCH TT1 C L Chau · W K Mo 3 16.0 1-3/4
3 2 SOLID CAR B1 K Teetan · D J Hall 5 4.8 2-3/4
4 7 MALPENSA TT J Orman · W Y So 10 13.0 4-1/2
5 14 RIDING HIGH CP L Hewitson · D J Whyte 12 7.1 4-3/4
6 12 VIVA FIRECRACKER TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz 4 22.0 4-3/4
7 3 CLOUD NINE XB L Ferraris · M Newnham 2 4.4 5-1/2
8 8 MEGA MASTERMIND B/TT B Avdulla · J Richards 7 23.0 5-3/4
9 11 VICTORY CHAMPION CP K C Leung · F C Lor 9 7.3 6
10 10 LEAN MASTER B/TT H Bentley · C H Yip 13 37.0 7-1/4
11 13 MASTER OF HUMOR CP1/TT- M L Yeung · B Crawford 1 93.0 13-1/4
12 9 FLYING CHRISTIE H-/B/TT A Atzeni · P C Ng 11 134.0 14-1/2
13 1 DAILY TROPHY TT E C W Wong · C Fownes 6 65.0 14-1/2
14 5 EXTRAORDINARY GALL M F Poon · K L Man 8 60.0 14-3/4
0 LITTLE MONSTER H/TT · W K Mo
0 SUPREME FEELING · D A Hayes

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. HOT DELIGHT2. CONRAD PATCH+1.75L3. SOLID CAR+2.75L4. MALPENSA+4.5L5. RIDING HIGH+4.75L6. VIVA FIRECRACKER+4.75L7. CLOUD NINE+5.5L8. MEGA MASTERMIND+5.75L9. VICTORY CHAMPION+6L10. LEAN MASTER+7.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick CLOUD NINE (25.0%) finished 7th — the winner HOT DELIGHT was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 CLOUD NINE 25.0% 3.99 7
2 6 HOT DELIGHT 18.0% 5.56 1
3 14 RIDING HIGH 10.7% 9.30 5
4 4 CONRAD PATCH 9.4% 10.67 2
5 2 SOLID CAR 7.2% 13.98 3
6 11 VICTORY CHAMPION 7.1% 14.01 9
7 12 VIVA FIRECRACKER 4.4% 22.94 6
8 7 MALPENSA 3.4% 29.27 4
9 1 DAILY TROPHY 3.4% 29.31 13
10 8 MEGA MASTERMIND 3.3% 30.10 8
11 5 EXTRAORDINARY GALL 2.9% 34.31 14
12 10 LEAN MASTER 2.8% 35.31 10
13 13 MASTER OF HUMOR 1.2% 82.71 11
14 9 FLYING CHRISTIE 1.1% 91.91 12
CLOUD NINEHOT DELIGHT — wonRIDING HIGHCONRAD PATCHSOLID CARVICTORY CHAMPIONVIVA FIRECRACKERMALPENSADAILY TROPHYMEGA MASTERMINDEXTRAORDINARY GALLLEAN MASTERMASTER OF HUMORFLYING CHRISTIE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 49.5

PLACE

2 16

4 48.5

6 22.5

QUINELLA

4,6 471.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,4 111.5

2,6 48.5

4,6 155

FORECAST

6,4 847

TIERCE

6,4,2 3,368

TRIO

2,4,6 692

FIRST 4

2,4,6,7 2,042

QUARTET

6,4,2,7 36,752

All pools (3 more)

1ST TREBLE

8/4/4 1,595

8/4/6 2,559

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

4,12,14/2,4,6 67,868

4TH DOUBLE

4/4 314.5

4/6 541