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Sha Tin · 2026-01-18 · 17:50

TENNIS 1600M HANDICAP

Race 11

Class 3 GOOD TO FIRM 1600m Course A 14 runners

Result

Official · 1:34.53
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 PATCH OF COSMO Closed strongly B 1:34.53 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K L Man 9 4.9 —
2 5 AERODYNAMICS Closed strongly TT A Atzeni · M Newnham 3 33.0 N
3 2 POPE CODY Closed strongly TT J Orman · Y S Tsui 10 9.7 1
4 9 STORMY GROVE Closed strongly H/TT H Bentley · F C Lor 8 3.9 1-1/4
5 10 VIOLET STAR Closed strongly SR1/XB1/TT1 B Avdulla · D J Whyte 5 67.0 1-1/4
6 11 ENDUED Closed strongly E/TT M Guyon · J Size 12 4.7 1-1/4
7 7 FORTUNE BOY Closed strongly B K Teetan · D A Hayes 11 8.1 1-1/2
8 14 SUPREME MASTERMIND H M L Yeung · D A Hayes 7 21.0 3-3/4
9 3 KA YING ATTACK Led early B M F Poon · D J Hall 1 11.0 3-3/4
10 12 FIVEFORTWO TT C Y Ho · K W Lui 13 45.0 7
11 6 KING LOTUS Closed strongly CP L Hewitson · M Newnham 14 20.0 7-1/2
12 13 LUCKY CANDY H/TT K C Leung · W K Mo 2 26.0 9-1/4
13 4 LOCH TAY BO/XB R Kingscote · D Eustace 6 44.0 12-1/4
14 8 SHAMZ TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz 4 127.0 19
— 0 SILO TT · J Richards — — —
— 0 FLYING LUCK V/TT · C Fownes — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 11 ("TENNIS 1600M HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-01-18 was Class 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. PATCH OF COSMO, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K L Man, won, with AERODYNAMICS second and POPE CODY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.9 favourite STORMY GROVE finished 4th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. PATCH OF COSMO—2. AERODYNAMICS+0.05L3. POPE CODY+1L4. STORMY GROVE+1.25L5. VIOLET STAR+1.25L6. ENDUED+1.25L7. FORTUNE BOY+1.5L8. SUPREME MASTERMIND+3.75L9. KA YING ATTACK+3.75L10. FIVEFORTWO+7L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick PATCH OF COSMO (18.4%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 PATCH OF COSMO 18.4% 5.42 1
2 9 STORMY GROVE 14.4% 6.96 4
3 3 KA YING ATTACK 13.6% 7.34 9
4 11 ENDUED 10.1% 9.95 6
5 7 FORTUNE BOY 8.2% 12.18 7
6 2 POPE CODY 7.1% 14.10 3
7 6 KING LOTUS 6.4% 15.75 11
8 12 FIVEFORTWO 5.5% 18.35 10
9 4 LOCH TAY 3.9% 25.37 13
10 5 AERODYNAMICS 3.8% 26.29 2
11 14 SUPREME MASTERMIND 3.6% 27.97 8
12 10 VIOLET STAR 2.5% 40.65 5
13 13 LUCKY CANDY 1.5% 66.88 12
14 8 SHAMZ 1.1% 87.62 14
PATCH OF COSMO — wonSTORMY GROVEKA YING ATTACKENDUEDFORTUNE BOYPOPE CODYKING LOTUSFIVEFORTWOLOCH TAYAERODYNAMICSSUPREME MASTERMINDVIOLET STARLUCKY CANDYSHAMZ

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 49

PLACE

1 20.5

2 29.5

5 87

QUINELLA

1,5 1,201.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 96

1,5 362

2,5 301.5

FORECAST

1,5 1,765

TIERCE

1,5,2 14,300

TRIO

1,2,5 3,772

FIRST 4

1,2,5,9 3,480

QUARTET

1,5,2,9 111,456

All pools (4 more)

10TH DOUBLE

3/1 1,064

3/5 487

2ND TREBLE

8/3/1 5,348

8/3/5 5,842

5TH DOUBLE TRIO

3,6,7/1,2,5 177,542

SIX UP

5/2/7/8/3/1 1,379,060

5,12/2,5/4,7/8,10/3,7/1,5 1,499

4 [K W Lui] —

3 [C L Chau] —