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Sha Tin · 2026-01-18 · 09:50

TENNIS 1600M HANDICAP

Race 11

Class 3 GOOD TO FIRM 1600m Course A 14 runners

Race 11 ("TENNIS 1600M HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-01-18 was Class 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. PATCH OF COSMO, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K L Man, won, with AERODYNAMICS second and POPE CODY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.9 favourite STORMY GROVE finished 4th.

Result

Official · 1:34.53
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 PATCH OF COSMO Closed strongly B 1:34.53 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K L Man 9 4.9
2 5 AERODYNAMICS Closed strongly TT A Atzeni · M Newnham 3 33.0 N
3 2 POPE CODY Closed strongly TT J Orman · Y S Tsui 10 9.7 1
4 9 STORMY GROVE Closed strongly H/TT H Bentley · F C Lor 8 3.9 1-1/4
5 10 VIOLET STAR Closed strongly SR1/XB1/TT1 B Avdulla · D J Whyte 5 67.0 1-1/4
6 11 ENDUED Closed strongly E/TT M Guyon · J Size 12 4.7 1-1/4
7 7 FORTUNE BOY Closed strongly B K Teetan · D A Hayes 11 8.1 1-1/2
8 14 SUPREME MASTERMIND H M L Yeung · D A Hayes 7 21.0 3-3/4
9 3 KA YING ATTACK Led early B M F Poon · D J Hall 1 11.0 3-3/4
10 12 FIVEFORTWO TT C Y Ho · K W Lui 13 45.0 7
11 6 KING LOTUS Closed strongly CP L Hewitson · M Newnham 14 20.0 7-1/2
12 13 LUCKY CANDY H/TT K C Leung · W K Mo 2 26.0 9-1/4
13 4 LOCH TAY BO/XB R Kingscote · D Eustace 6 44.0 12-1/4
14 8 SHAMZ TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz 4 127.0 19
0 SILO TT · J Richards
0 FLYING LUCK V/TT · C Fownes

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. PATCH OF COSMO2. AERODYNAMICS+0.05L3. POPE CODY+1L4. STORMY GROVE+1.25L5. VIOLET STAR+1.25L6. ENDUED+1.25L7. FORTUNE BOY+1.5L8. SUPREME MASTERMIND+3.75L9. KA YING ATTACK+3.75L10. FIVEFORTWO+7L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick PATCH OF COSMO (18.4%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 PATCH OF COSMO 18.4% 5.42 1
2 9 STORMY GROVE 14.4% 6.96 4
3 3 KA YING ATTACK 13.6% 7.34 9
4 11 ENDUED 10.1% 9.95 6
5 7 FORTUNE BOY 8.2% 12.18 7
6 2 POPE CODY 7.1% 14.10 3
7 6 KING LOTUS 6.4% 15.75 11
8 12 FIVEFORTWO 5.5% 18.35 10
9 4 LOCH TAY 3.9% 25.37 13
10 5 AERODYNAMICS 3.8% 26.29 2
11 14 SUPREME MASTERMIND 3.6% 27.97 8
12 10 VIOLET STAR 2.5% 40.65 5
13 13 LUCKY CANDY 1.5% 66.88 12
14 8 SHAMZ 1.1% 87.62 14
PATCH OF COSMO — wonSTORMY GROVEKA YING ATTACKENDUEDFORTUNE BOYPOPE CODYKING LOTUSFIVEFORTWOLOCH TAYAERODYNAMICSSUPREME MASTERMINDVIOLET STARLUCKY CANDYSHAMZ

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 49

PLACE

1 20.5

2 29.5

5 87

QUINELLA

1,5 1,201.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 96

1,5 362

2,5 301.5

FORECAST

1,5 1,765

TIERCE

1,5,2 14,300

TRIO

1,2,5 3,772

FIRST 4

1,2,5,9 3,480

QUARTET

1,5,2,9 111,456

All pools (4 more)

10TH DOUBLE

3/1 1,064

3/5 487

2ND TREBLE

8/3/1 5,348

8/3/5 5,842

5TH DOUBLE TRIO

3,6,7/1,2,5 177,542

SIX UP

5/2/7/8/3/1 1,379,060

5,12/2,5/4,7/8,10/3,7/1,5 1,499

3 [C L Chau]

4 [K W Lui]