Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2026-01-18 · 14:05

SWIMMING 1400M HANDICAP

Race 4

Class 4 GOOD 1400m Course A 14 runners

Result

Official · 1:21.62
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 4 LUCKY TWIN STARS Closed strongly CP 1:21.62 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · K W Lui 9 17.0 —
2 12 ABSOLUTE HONOUR Closed strongly B/TT A Atzeni · A S Cruz 6 4.8 N
3 14 WIN SPEED V K Teetan · B Crawford 8 12.0 3/4
4 5 RAGING RAPIDS Closed strongly TT B Avdulla · J Size 13 10.0 1-3/4
5 3 EMBRACE ABERDEEN M F Poon · F C Lor 5 6.1 2-1/4
6 2 DEVAS TWELVE Led early TT M Chadwick · W Y So 14 5.8 2-3/4
7 10 FLYING AMANI Closed strongly XB Z Purton · D J Hall 4 10.0 2-3/4
8 13 WINNING DIAMOND Closed strongly M L Yeung · C H Yip 11 59.0 3-1/4
9 7 LEADING AGILITY H/TT D B McMonagle · W K Mo 3 9.8 3-1/2
10 1 TAOGETHER M Guyon · Y S Tsui 10 18.0 4
11 8 ONE LOVE Closed strongly E H Bentley · J Size 7 36.0 4-1/4
12 9 CIRCUIT CENTURY B/XB R Kingscote · D J Whyte 2 52.0 7
13 11 NAMJONG KINGDOM SR/TT A Badel · W Y So 1 9.5 8-1/2
14 6 POWER PATCH K C Leung · K L Man 12 56.0 9-1/4
— 0 TAI VICTORY B · K H Ting — — —
— 8 GOLDEN DREAM B L Ferraris · D A Hayes 7 — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 4 ("SWIMMING 1400M HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-01-18 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. LUCKY TWIN STARS, ridden by C L Chau and trained by K W Lui, won, with ABSOLUTE HONOUR second and WIN SPEED third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.8 favourite ABSOLUTE HONOUR finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. LUCKY TWIN STARS—2. ABSOLUTE HONOUR+0.05L3. WIN SPEED+0.75L4. RAGING RAPIDS+1.75L5. EMBRACE ABERDEEN+2.25L6. DEVAS TWELVE+2.75L7. FLYING AMANI+2.75L8. WINNING DIAMOND+3.25L9. LEADING AGILITY+3.5L10. TAOGETHER+4L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick ABSOLUTE HONOUR (14.8%) finished 2nd — the winner LUCKY TWIN STARS was rated #9. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 12 ABSOLUTE HONOUR 14.8% 6.75 2
2 7 LEADING AGILITY 12.0% 8.37 9
3 5 RAGING RAPIDS 11.0% 9.10 4
4 10 FLYING AMANI 10.1% 9.86 7
5 2 DEVAS TWELVE 9.8% 10.18 6
6 3 EMBRACE ABERDEEN 9.6% 10.42 5
7 1 TAOGETHER 8.5% 11.75 10
8 14 WIN SPEED 5.1% 19.42 3
9 4 LUCKY TWIN STARS 4.9% 20.21 1
10 8 ONE LOVE 3.4% 29.41 11
11 11 NAMJONG KINGDOM 3.2% 31.19 13
12 13 WINNING DIAMOND 2.8% 36.22 8
13 9 CIRCUIT CENTURY 2.6% 38.94 12
14 6 POWER PATCH 2.1% 46.88 14
ABSOLUTE HONOURLEADING AGILITYRAGING RAPIDSFLYING AMANIDEVAS TWELVEEMBRACE ABERDEENTAOGETHERWIN SPEEDLUCKY TWIN STARS — wonONE LOVENAMJONG KINGDOMWINNING DIAMONDCIRCUIT CENTURYPOWER PATCH

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

4 179

PLACE

4 52.5

12 18

14 42

QUINELLA

4,12 683

QUINELLA PLACE

4,12 211.5

4,14 391

12,14 111

FORECAST

4,12 1,280

TIERCE

4,12,14 14,110

TRIO

4,12,14 1,798

FIRST 4

4,5,12,14 2,778

QUARTET

4,12,14,5 78,989

All pools (1 more)

3RD DOUBLE

8/4 405.5

8/12 34.5