Sha Tin · 2026-01-18 · 06:05
SWIMMING 1400M HANDICAP
Race 4
Race 4 ("SWIMMING 1400M HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-01-18 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. LUCKY TWIN STARS, ridden by C L Chau and trained by K W Lui, won, with ABSOLUTE HONOUR second and WIN SPEED third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.8 favourite ABSOLUTE HONOUR finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | LUCKY TWIN STARS Closed strongly CP 1:21.62 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 9 | 17.0 | — |
| 2 | 12 | ABSOLUTE HONOUR Closed strongly B/TT A Atzeni · A S Cruz | A Atzeni | A S Cruz | 6 | 4.8 | N |
| 3 | 14 | WIN SPEED V K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 8 | 12.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | RAGING RAPIDS Closed strongly TT B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 13 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 3 | EMBRACE ABERDEEN M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 5 | 6.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 2 | DEVAS TWELVE Led early TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 14 | 5.8 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 10 | FLYING AMANI Closed strongly XB Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 4 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 13 | WINNING DIAMOND Closed strongly M L Yeung · C H Yip | M L Yeung | C H Yip | 11 | 59.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 7 | LEADING AGILITY H/TT D B McMonagle · W K Mo | D B McMonagle | W K Mo | 3 | 9.8 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 1 | TAOGETHER M Guyon · Y S Tsui | M Guyon | Y S Tsui | 10 | 18.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 8 | ONE LOVE Closed strongly E H Bentley · J Size | H Bentley | J Size | 7 | 36.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 12 | 9 | CIRCUIT CENTURY B/XB R Kingscote · D J Whyte | R Kingscote | D J Whyte | 2 | 52.0 | 7 |
| 13 | 11 | NAMJONG KINGDOM SR/TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 1 | 9.5 | 8-1/2 |
| 14 | 6 | POWER PATCH K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 12 | 56.0 | 9-1/4 |
| — | 0 | TAI VICTORY B · K H Ting | — | K H Ting | — | — | — |
| — | 8 | GOLDEN DREAM B L Ferraris · D A Hayes | L Ferraris | D A Hayes | 7 | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | ABSOLUTE HONOUR | 14.8% | 6.75 | 2 |
| 2 | 7 | LEADING AGILITY | 12.0% | 8.37 | 9 |
| 3 | 5 | RAGING RAPIDS | 11.0% | 9.10 | 4 |
| 4 | 10 | FLYING AMANI | 10.1% | 9.86 | 7 |
| 5 | 2 | DEVAS TWELVE | 9.8% | 10.18 | 6 |
| 6 | 3 | EMBRACE ABERDEEN | 9.6% | 10.42 | 5 |
| 7 | 1 | TAOGETHER | 8.5% | 11.75 | 10 |
| 8 | 14 | WIN SPEED | 5.1% | 19.42 | 3 |
| 9 | 4 | LUCKY TWIN STARS | 4.9% | 20.21 | 1 |
| 10 | 8 | ONE LOVE | 3.4% | 29.41 | 11 |
| 11 | 11 | NAMJONG KINGDOM | 3.2% | 31.19 | 13 |
| 12 | 13 | WINNING DIAMOND | 2.8% | 36.22 | 8 |
| 13 | 9 | CIRCUIT CENTURY | 2.6% | 38.94 | 12 |
| 14 | 6 | POWER PATCH | 2.1% | 46.88 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 179
PLACE
4 52.5
12 18
14 42
QUINELLA
4,12 683
QUINELLA PLACE
4,12 211.5
4,14 391
12,14 111
FORECAST
4,12 1,280
TIERCE
4,12,14 14,110
TRIO
4,12,14 1,798
FIRST 4
4,5,12,14 2,778
QUARTET
4,12,14,5 78,989
All pools (1 more)
3RD DOUBLE
8/4 405.5
8/12 34.5