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Sha Tin · 2026-01-18 · 09:15

FENCING 1400M HANDICAP

Race 10

Class 3 GOOD TO FIRM 1400m Course A 14 runners

Race 10 ("FENCING 1400M HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-01-18 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. AKASHVANI, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by D A Hayes, won, with SUPER EXPRESS second and DO YOUR PART third. The winner led throughout. The 1.7 favourite SUPER EXPRESS finished 2nd.

Result

Official · 1:21.30
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 3 AKASHVANI Wire to wire B 1:21.30 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Avdulla · D A Hayes 8 18.0
2 7 SUPER EXPRESS Closed strongly TT M Guyon · J Size 12 1.7 3
3 6 DO YOUR PART Closed strongly XB/TT L Ferraris · K W Lui 7 9.2 4-1/4
4 11 ARMOR GOLDEN EAGLE Closed strongly B2 A Atzeni · M Newnham 14 97.0 4-1/4
5 14 GOOD LUCK BABE Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz 3 57.0 4-1/4
6 4 RIDING TOGETHER TT L Hewitson · D Eustace 2 29.0 4-1/2
7 13 EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS XB K Teetan · B Crawford 13 19.0 5-1/4
8 5 SUNNY DA BEST Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · W Y So 11 50.0 5-1/4
9 2 NEW FUTURE FOLKS Closed strongly P/H1/TT D B McMonagle · C W Chang 9 15.0 6
10 1 FLYING FORTRESS XB/TT H Bentley · W K Mo 1 18.0 6
11 8 LUCKY MY WAY Closed strongly B M F Poon · K L Man 10 71.0 7-1/4
12 12 TIN FOOK CP Z Purton · D J Hall 5 5.2 7-1/2
13 10 HAPPY TERCENTENARY XB1 K C Leung · D J Whyte 6 118.0 8
14 9 SO YOU WILL TT A Badel · C Fownes 4 67.0 8
0 HAPPY INDEX · K L Man
0 GRACIOUS EXPRESS V/TT · P F Yiu

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. AKASHVANI2. SUPER EXPRESS+3L3. DO YOUR PART+4.25L4. ARMOR GOLDEN EAGLE+4.25L5. GOOD LUCK BABE+4.25L6. RIDING TOGETHER+4.5L7. EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS+5.25L8. SUNNY DA BEST+5.25L9. NEW FUTURE FOLKS+6L10. FLYING FORTRESS+6L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick SUPER EXPRESS (32.6%) finished 2nd — the winner AKASHVANI was rated #8. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 7 SUPER EXPRESS 32.6% 3.07 2
2 12 TIN FOOK 14.7% 6.82 12
3 1 FLYING FORTRESS 10.6% 9.47 10
4 6 DO YOUR PART 10.5% 9.49 3
5 13 EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS 4.1% 24.69 7
6 4 RIDING TOGETHER 3.9% 25.67 6
7 2 NEW FUTURE FOLKS 3.7% 27.09 9
8 3 AKASHVANI 3.5% 28.61 1
9 5 SUNNY DA BEST 3.4% 29.47 8
10 8 LUCKY MY WAY 2.8% 35.99 11
11 11 ARMOR GOLDEN EAGLE 2.8% 36.12 4
12 9 SO YOU WILL 2.7% 37.17 14
13 14 GOOD LUCK BABE 2.6% 38.24 5
14 10 HAPPY TERCENTENARY 2.3% 43.79 13
SUPER EXPRESSTIN FOOKFLYING FORTRESSDO YOUR PARTEIGHTY LIGHT YEARSRIDING TOGETHERNEW FUTURE FOLKSAKASHVANI — wonSUNNY DA BESTLUCKY MY WAYARMOR GOLDEN EAGLESO YOU WILLGOOD LUCK BABEHAPPY TERCENTENARY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 185.5

PLACE

3 36.5

6 24.5

7 11.5

QUINELLA

3,7 140

QUINELLA PLACE

3,6 178

3,7 58

6,7 34.5

FORECAST

3,7 464

TIERCE

3,7,6 3,700

TRIO

3,6,7 340

FIRST 4

3,6,7,11 3,868

QUARTET

3,7,6,11 76,385

All pools (1 more)

9TH DOUBLE

8/3 1,338.5

8/7 14