沙田 · 2026-01-18 · 04:30
RUGBY SEVENS 2000M HANDICAP
第 1場
2026-01-18沙田第1場「RUGBY SEVENS 2000M HANDICAP」，Class 5，途程2000米，跑道評為GOOD。由K Teetan策騎、C H Yip訓練的SUPER HONG KONG勝出。ROMANTIC FANTASY獲得亞軍；ALL ARE MINE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。5.2倍大熱門COOL BLUE跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | SUPER HONG KONG 後段發力 B/TT 2:03.84 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 6 | 7.0 | — |
| 2 | 5 | ROMANTIC FANTASY 後段發力 A Badel · J Richards | A Badel | J Richards | 10 | 15.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 6 | ALL ARE MINE 後段發力 H/XB A Atzeni · B Crawford | A Atzeni | B Crawford | 8 | 9.3 | 2 |
| 4 | 12 | COOL BLUE 後段發力 E/P/TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 7 | 5.2 | 3 |
| 5 | 11 | CHATEAU LE PECHE 後段發力 B C L Chau · K H Ting | C L Chau | K H Ting | 4 | 6.1 | 3 |
| 6 | 13 | GOLD TACK CP M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 5 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 14 | LEATHER MASTER V-/B2 M Guyon · K L Man | M Guyon | K L Man | 2 | 10.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 9 | SMART BEAUTY B/TT J Orman · A S Cruz | J Orman | A S Cruz | 3 | 36.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 8 | GOLDEN FAIRY 早段領放 L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 11 | 27.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 3 | ON THE LASH B/TT L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 1 | 11.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | MEEPMEEP PC-/E/B2/TT B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 9 | 14.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 4 | PERFECT PAIRING 後段發力 B D B McMonagle · J Size | D B McMonagle | J Size | 14 | 17.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 1 | IRON LEGION H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 12 | 15.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 14 | 2 | FURY AND GOLD TT H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 13 | 41.0 | 15 |
| — | 0 | MR ALADDIN H/PC/TT · P C Ng | — | P C Ng | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | STERLING WONGCHOY B · D J Whyte | — | D J Whyte | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | COOL BLUE | 17.6% | 5.67 | 4 |
| 2 | 11 | CHATEAU LE PECHE | 17.0% | 5.90 | 5 |
| 3 | 3 | ON THE LASH | 11.6% | 8.59 | 10 |
| 4 | 14 | LEATHER MASTER | 8.6% | 11.64 | 7 |
| 5 | 10 | SUPER HONG KONG | 7.3% | 13.63 | 1 |
| 6 | 4 | PERFECT PAIRING | 6.5% | 15.47 | 12 |
| 7 | 13 | GOLD TACK | 5.8% | 17.13 | 6 |
| 8 | 1 | IRON LEGION | 5.4% | 18.58 | 13 |
| 9 | 5 | ROMANTIC FANTASY | 5.4% | 18.67 | 2 |
| 10 | 7 | MEEPMEEP | 4.4% | 22.92 | 11 |
| 11 | 6 | ALL ARE MINE | 3.7% | 27.18 | 3 |
| 12 | 2 | FURY AND GOLD | 2.5% | 40.20 | 14 |
| 13 | 9 | SMART BEAUTY | 2.2% | 46.31 | 8 |
| 14 | 8 | GOLDEN FAIRY | 2.1% | 47.26 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 70.5
PLACE
5 49
6 36
10 25.5
QUINELLA
5,10 540
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 314
5,10 159.5
6,10 119.5
FORECAST
10,5 1,015
TIERCE
10,5,6 15,053
TRIO
5,6,10 3,062
FIRST 4
5,6,10,12 3,752
QUARTET
10,5,6,12 126,242