Happy Valley · 2026-01-28 · 19:10
FLEMING HANDICAP
Race 2
Track detail & race-day changes (1)
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | THUNDER BLINK Closed strongly V-/B2/TT 1:39.71 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 6 | 3.0 | — |
| 2 | 11 | HARRY'S HERO Closed strongly H A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 5 | 8.3 | HD |
| 3 | 2 | TELECOM POWER Closed strongly B M Guyon · Y S Tsui | M Guyon | Y S Tsui | 2 | 18.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 9 | WAH MAY WAI WAI Led early B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 8 | 17.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 5 | FAMILY FORTUNE Closed strongly TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 7 | 6.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 12 | STRONGEST BOY Closed strongly V H Bentley · J Richards | H Bentley | J Richards | 10 | 7.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 1 | LUCKY BLESSING Closed strongly CP/TT M F Poon · W K Mo | M F Poon | W K Mo | 3 | 21.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 10 | PERFECTO MOMENTS CP M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 9 | 17.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 3 | TSUEN WAN GLORY TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 1 | 11.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 10 | 6 | SOARING BRONCO Closed strongly H/P/TT C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 12 | 35.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | SOMETHING JONAH CP J Orman · D J Hall | J Orman | D J Hall | 11 | 47.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 8 | DOUBLE SHOW V L Hewitson · B Crawford | L Hewitson | B Crawford | 4 | 7.5 | 5-1/2 |
| — | 0 | CARRYON SMILING TT · W Y So | — | W Y So | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | EVER SMART H2/TT H T Mo · F C Lor | H T Mo | F C Lor | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 ("FLEMING HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-01-28 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. THUNDER BLINK, ridden by Z Purton and trained by C S Shum, won, with HARRY'S HERO second and TELECOM POWER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.0 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | DOUBLE SHOW | 17.8% | 5.62 | 12 |
| 2 | 4 | THUNDER BLINK | 14.6% | 6.84 | 1 |
| 3 | 3 | TSUEN WAN GLORY | 10.4% | 9.59 | 9 |
| 4 | 1 | LUCKY BLESSING | 9.4% | 10.67 | 7 |
| 5 | 9 | WAH MAY WAI WAI | 9.3% | 10.74 | 4 |
| 6 | 2 | TELECOM POWER | 8.3% | 12.07 | 3 |
| 7 | 11 | HARRY'S HERO | 7.6% | 13.16 | 2 |
| 8 | 10 | PERFECTO MOMENTS | 6.3% | 15.85 | 8 |
| 9 | 5 | FAMILY FORTUNE | 6.0% | 16.77 | 5 |
| 10 | 12 | STRONGEST BOY | 3.8% | 26.42 | 6 |
| 11 | 7 | SOMETHING JONAH | 3.8% | 26.63 | 11 |
| 12 | 6 | SOARING BRONCO | 2.8% | 35.87 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 30
PLACE
2 47
4 17
11 26
QUINELLA
4,11 130
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 149
2,11 213
4,11 54.5
FORECAST
4,11 222
TIERCE
4,11,2 2,839
TRIO
2,4,11 693
FIRST 4
2,4,9,11 2,671
QUARTET
4,11,2,9 39,752
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
4/4 159
4/11 85