Happy Valley · 2026-01-28 · 20:40
JAFFE HANDICAP
Race 5
Track detail
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | RAGGA BOMB Closed strongly CP-/XB 1:38.72 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · D Eustace | H Bowman | D Eustace | 3 | 5.3 | — |
| 2 | 10 | TAKE ACTION Closed strongly B B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 6 | 15.0 | 3 |
| 3 | 11 | ACE WAR Closed strongly TT Z Purton · D J Whyte | Z Purton | D J Whyte | 1 | 1.8 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 4 | CALIFORNIA BAY Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 9 | 14.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | KA YING GLORY Led early BO2/TT L Ferraris · D A Hayes | L Ferraris | D A Hayes | 8 | 24.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | MATSU VICTOR V M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 2 | 38.0 | 6 |
| 7 | 2 | THE AZURE Closed strongly M Guyon · F C Lor | M Guyon | F C Lor | 10 | 20.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 6 | GENERAL REDWOOD CP/TT Y L Chung · C S Shum | Y L Chung | C S Shum | 5 | 19.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | CELTIC TIMES Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 11 | 23.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 12 | SETANTA B/TT A Atzeni · M Newnham | A Atzeni | M Newnham | 4 | 8.1 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 8 | LUCK SMILES TT J Orman · W Y So | J Orman | W Y So | 7 | 139.0 | 15-1/2 |
| 12 | 3 | TO INFINITY CP2 D B McMonagle · J Richards | D B McMonagle | J Richards | 12 | 46.0 | 16-3/4 |
| — | 0 | JUSTIFY YOURSELF CP · W K Mo | — | W K Mo | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | HAPPY BOSS CP/TT · D Eustace | — | D Eustace | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 ("JAFFE HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-01-28 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. RAGGA BOMB, ridden by H Bowman and trained by D Eustace, won, with TAKE ACTION second and ACE WAR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.8 favourite ACE WAR finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | ACE WAR | 42.7% | 2.34 | 3 |
| 2 | 5 | RAGGA BOMB | 14.7% | 6.79 | 1 |
| 3 | 12 | SETANTA | 9.2% | 10.84 | 10 |
| 4 | 10 | TAKE ACTION | 7.5% | 13.26 | 2 |
| 5 | 4 | CALIFORNIA BAY | 6.6% | 15.15 | 4 |
| 6 | 2 | THE AZURE | 3.9% | 25.58 | 7 |
| 7 | 1 | CELTIC TIMES | 3.6% | 27.68 | 9 |
| 8 | 6 | GENERAL REDWOOD | 2.9% | 34.29 | 8 |
| 9 | 3 | TO INFINITY | 2.7% | 36.50 | 12 |
| 10 | 7 | KA YING GLORY | 2.6% | 38.43 | 5 |
| 11 | 9 | MATSU VICTOR | 2.5% | 40.17 | 6 |
| 12 | 8 | LUCK SMILES | 0.9% | 109.71 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 53.5
PLACE
5 19
10 26
11 12.5
QUINELLA
5,10 356
QUINELLA PLACE
5,10 92
5,11 25.5
10,11 46
FORECAST
5,10 683
TIERCE
5,10,11 1,713
TRIO
5,10,11 174
FIRST 4
4,5,10,11 493
QUARTET
5,10,11,4 18,730
All pools (3 more)
1ST TREBLE
3/4/5 3,116
3/4/10 1,268
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
4,5,6/5,10,11 6,790
4TH DOUBLE
4/5 799.5
4/10 312