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Happy Valley · 2026-01-28 · 12:10

THE HONG KONG FOOTBALL CLUB CENTENARY CUP (HANDICAP)

Race 4

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 1000m Course C 12 runners

Race 4 ("THE HONG KONG FOOTBALL CLUB CENTENARY CUP (HANDICAP)") at Happy Valley on 2026-01-28 was Class 4 over 1000m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. COPARTNER FLEET, ridden by H Bowman and trained by K W Lui, won, with BEAUTY THUNDER second and BUNTA BABY third. The 4.0 favourite SUPER SIXTY finished 8th.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.71

Result

Official · 0:56.95
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 4 COPARTNER FLEET CP-/XB1 0:56.95 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · K W Lui 6 14.0
2 6 BEAUTY THUNDER CP/TT Z Purton · W K Mo 7 4.3 N
3 5 BUNTA BABY V/TT C Y Ho · K L Man 3 5.8 1/2
4 11 STAR PERFORMER B A Badel · M Newnham 8 8.5 1-1/4
5 1 FUN ELITE TT K C Leung · C W Chang 2 5.7 2-3/4
6 8 HAPPY UNITED B/TT Y L Chung · J Richards 5 24.0 3
7 10 ZOUPER FELLOW TT M F Poon · D J Hall 4 54.0 3
8 3 SUPER SIXTY SR E C W Wong · C Fownes 1 4.0 3
9 12 GOLDEN FRIENDSHIP B/TT H Bentley · K H Ting 12 9.7 3-1/4
10 7 GREAT STATE V/TT M L Yeung · W Y So 10 102.0 3-3/4
11 2 SIR CHARGE TT D B McMonagle · D Eustace 9 57.0 4-1/4
12 9 LUCKY PLUS L Hewitson · P C Ng 11 136.0 4-3/4
0 MY TRIUMPH H · D A Hayes
0 HARMONY FIRE B/TT · D J Whyte

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. COPARTNER FLEET2. BEAUTY THUNDER+0.05L3. BUNTA BABY+0.5L4. STAR PERFORMER+1.25L5. FUN ELITE+2.75L6. HAPPY UNITED+3L7. ZOUPER FELLOW+3L8. SUPER SIXTY+3L9. GOLDEN FRIENDSHIP+3.25L10. GREAT STATE+3.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick SUPER SIXTY (28.5%) finished 8th — the winner COPARTNER FLEET was rated #8. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 SUPER SIXTY 28.5% 3.51 8
2 5 BUNTA BABY 26.5% 3.78 3
3 6 BEAUTY THUNDER 10.0% 10.03 2
4 1 FUN ELITE 9.6% 10.39 5
5 11 STAR PERFORMER 7.6% 13.23 4
6 8 HAPPY UNITED 4.1% 24.23 6
7 12 GOLDEN FRIENDSHIP 3.5% 28.82 9
8 4 COPARTNER FLEET 2.9% 34.51 1
9 2 SIR CHARGE 2.6% 38.65 11
10 10 ZOUPER FELLOW 2.0% 50.52 7
11 7 GREAT STATE 1.9% 53.70 10
12 9 LUCKY PLUS 1.0% 102.28 12
SUPER SIXTYBUNTA BABYBEAUTY THUNDERFUN ELITESTAR PERFORMERHAPPY UNITEDGOLDEN FRIENDSHIPCOPARTNER FLEET — wonSIR CHARGEZOUPER FELLOWGREAT STATELUCKY PLUS

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

4 140

PLACE

4 41.5

5 20

6 16.5

QUINELLA

4,6 269.5

QUINELLA PLACE

4,5 136.5

4,6 87.5

5,6 43.5

FORECAST

4,6 734

TIERCE

4,6,5 2,665

TRIO

4,5,6 427

FIRST 4

4,5,6,11 819

QUARTET

4,6,5,11 26,309

All pools (1 more)

3RD DOUBLE

3/4 499.5

3/6 31.5