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Happy Valley · 2026-01-28 · 13:10

LOCKHART HANDICAP

Race 6

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 1200m Course C 12 runners

Race 6 ("LOCKHART HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-01-28 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. AMAZING KID, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by J Size, won, with MEOWTH second and THUNDER PRINCE third. Victory came as the 4.8 favourite.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.71

Result

Official · 1:09.65
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 5 AMAZING KID 1:09.65 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · J Size 2 4.8
2 1 MEOWTH CP/SR/TT K C Leung · W K Mo 1 6.0 1/2
3 10 THUNDER PRINCE XB/TT H Bowman · J Richards 3 6.9 1-1/2
4 2 FLYING WROTE TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 9 14.0 1-1/2
5 6 HONEST WITNESS TT L Ferraris · D A Hayes 6 5.6 2
6 11 SAME TO YOU H/P/TT A Badel · M Newnham 8 15.0 2-1/2
7 9 DUKE OF ORANGE TT L Hewitson · C H Yip 7 37.0 3-1/4
8 7 GET FRIENDLY CP-/XB Z Purton · D J Whyte 10 8.9 3-1/4
9 3 JUSTIFYING B1/H2/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes 5 9.5 4
10 4 SUPERB BOY TT M Guyon · Y S Tsui 11 13.0 4-1/4
11 12 WIN METHOD B/TT H Bentley · C S Shum 12 28.0 5-1/4
12 8 MEGA BONUS V B Avdulla · P F Yiu 4 34.0 5-3/4
0 GIMME FIVE B · F C Lor
0 POWER SUMMIT CP · D Eustace

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. AMAZING KID2. MEOWTH+0.5L3. THUNDER PRINCE+1.5L4. FLYING WROTE+1.5L5. HONEST WITNESS+2L6. SAME TO YOU+2.5L7. DUKE OF ORANGE+3.25L8. GET FRIENDLY+3.25L9. JUSTIFYING+4L10. SUPERB BOY+4.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick AMAZING KID (32.6%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 5 AMAZING KID 32.6% 3.07 1
2 10 THUNDER PRINCE 12.4% 8.09 3
3 1 MEOWTH 10.0% 10.02 2
4 6 HONEST WITNESS 9.2% 10.85 5
5 7 GET FRIENDLY 8.4% 11.96 8
6 3 JUSTIFYING 5.6% 17.74 9
7 2 FLYING WROTE 4.7% 21.06 4
8 4 SUPERB BOY 3.9% 25.53 10
9 11 SAME TO YOU 3.9% 25.95 6
10 12 WIN METHOD 3.7% 27.30 11
11 8 MEGA BONUS 3.1% 32.78 12
12 9 DUKE OF ORANGE 2.6% 38.45 7
AMAZING KID — wonTHUNDER PRINCEMEOWTHHONEST WITNESSGET FRIENDLYJUSTIFYINGFLYING WROTESUPERB BOYSAME TO YOUWIN METHODMEGA BONUSDUKE OF ORANGE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 48

PLACE

1 23.5

5 19.5

10 21.5

QUINELLA

1,5 151

QUINELLA PLACE

1,5 54.5

1,10 72.5

5,10 68

FORECAST

5,1 263

TIERCE

5,1,10 1,177

TRIO

1,5,10 248

FIRST 4

1,2,5,10 565

QUARTET

5,1,10,2 7,932

All pools (1 more)

5TH DOUBLE

5/1 62

5/5 281