Happy Valley · 2026-01-28 · 13:45
SOUTHORN HANDICAP
Race 7
Race 7 ("SOUTHORN HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-01-28 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. ROMANTIC SON, ridden by D B McMonagle and trained by D A Hayes, won, with LUCKY PLANET second and PERFECT GENERAL third. The 4.4 favourite SPIRIT OF PEACE finished 5th.
Track detail & race-day changes (3)
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | ROMANTIC SON CP 1:09.32 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) D B McMonagle · D A Hayes | D B McMonagle | D A Hayes | 1 | 5.5 | — |
| 2 | 5 | LUCKY PLANET B/TT M F Poon · W K Mo | M F Poon | W K Mo | 10 | 9.2 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 6 | PERFECT GENERAL H/P/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 6 | 5.2 | 1 |
| 4 | 4 | SYMBOL OF STRENGTH L Ferraris · F C Lor | L Ferraris | F C Lor | 4 | 13.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 12 | SPIRIT OF PEACE A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 7 | 4.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 8 | ANOTHER ZONDA B M Guyon · Y S Tsui | M Guyon | Y S Tsui | 2 | 4.8 | 2 |
| 7 | 2 | WINGS OF WAR B/XB B Avdulla · D J Whyte | B Avdulla | D J Whyte | 5 | 15.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 9 | BEAUTY GLORY TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 12 | 67.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 1 | GRACIOUS EXPRESS V/TT E C W Wong · P F Yiu | E C W Wong | P F Yiu | 11 | 13.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 10 | GAZELEY L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 3 | 64.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 11 | GOLDENTRONICMIGHTY B/TT M L Yeung · J Richards | M L Yeung | J Richards | 8 | 23.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 7 | DOUBLE MONEY H T Mo · C S Shum | H T Mo | C S Shum | 9 | 62.0 | 15-1/2 |
| — | 0 | TOURBILLON PRINCE CP/TT · C W Chang | — | C W Chang | — | — | — |
| — | 8 | PRESTIGE ALWAYS B/TT H Bentley · P C Ng | H Bentley | P C Ng | 2 | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | PERFECT GENERAL | 30.9% | 3.24 | 3 |
| 2 | 3 | ROMANTIC SON | 10.3% | 9.68 | 1 |
| 3 | 12 | SPIRIT OF PEACE | 10.0% | 9.98 | 5 |
| 4 | 5 | LUCKY PLANET | 9.4% | 10.66 | 2 |
| 5 | 11 | GOLDENTRONICMIGHTY | 7.7% | 12.91 | 11 |
| 6 | 4 | SYMBOL OF STRENGTH | 6.9% | 14.58 | 4 |
| 7 | 8 | ANOTHER ZONDA | 5.9% | 16.87 | 6 |
| 8 | 2 | WINGS OF WAR | 5.6% | 18.01 | 7 |
| 9 | 1 | GRACIOUS EXPRESS | 4.5% | 22.01 | 9 |
| 10 | 9 | BEAUTY GLORY | 4.1% | 24.49 | 8 |
| 11 | 7 | DOUBLE MONEY | 3.0% | 33.65 | 12 |
| 12 | 10 | GAZELEY | 1.7% | 57.85 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 55.5
PLACE
3 19
5 31
6 20.5
QUINELLA
3,5 291.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 92.5
3,6 55.5
5,6 62.5
FORECAST
3,5 531
TIERCE
3,5,6 1,826
TRIO
3,5,6 237
FIRST 4
3,4,5,6 796
QUARTET
3,5,6,4 17,934
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,5,10/3,5,6 3,908
6TH DOUBLE
5/3 279
5/5 51
TRIPLE TRIO
5,10,11/1,5,10/3,5,6 57,374
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
5,10,11/1,5,10/Any Combination 323