Happy Valley · 2026-01-28 · 11:40
LOCKHART HANDICAP
Race 3
Race 3 ("LOCKHART HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-01-28 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. STRAIGHT TO GLORY, ridden by K C Leung and trained by C W Chang, won, with SUPERB KING second and HAYDAY third. Victory came as the 2.8 favourite.
Track detail
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | STRAIGHT TO GLORY H/TT 1:09.76 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 6 | 2.8 | — |
| 2 | 2 | SUPERB KING XB J Orman · K W Lui | J Orman | K W Lui | 8 | 5.5 | HD |
| 3 | 1 | HAYDAY E C W Wong · P F Yiu | E C W Wong | P F Yiu | 10 | 5.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 12 | GOR GOR B-/TT- L Hewitson · B Crawford | L Hewitson | B Crawford | 4 | 11.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | ACE POWER V/TT Z Purton · D J Whyte | Z Purton | D J Whyte | 5 | 5.6 | 4 |
| 6 | 11 | YEUX DE LIFELINE B/TT A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 2 | 35.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 5 | THE PERFECT MATCH TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 9 | 7.4 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | SWEET BRIAR CP-/V2/TT D B McMonagle · K H Ting | D B McMonagle | K H Ting | 3 | 39.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 4 | TACTICAL COMMAND B A Badel · M Newnham | A Badel | M Newnham | 12 | 44.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 10 | WHOWROTETHATSONG TT Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 11 | 148.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 8 | CELESTIAL STRIDER TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 7 | 157.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 9 | REGROWTH WINNER TT1 M F Poon · J Richards | M F Poon | J Richards | 1 | 58.0 | 9-3/4 |
| — | 0 | CIRRUS SPEED · D J Hall | — | D J Hall | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | KA YING RESILIENCE B/TT · D A Hayes | — | D A Hayes | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | ACE POWER | 27.1% | 3.69 | 5 |
| 2 | 3 | STRAIGHT TO GLORY | 26.7% | 3.75 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | THE PERFECT MATCH | 12.1% | 8.25 | 7 |
| 4 | 1 | HAYDAY | 8.0% | 12.43 | 3 |
| 5 | 2 | SUPERB KING | 7.9% | 12.72 | 2 |
| 6 | 4 | TACTICAL COMMAND | 3.6% | 27.61 | 9 |
| 7 | 6 | SWEET BRIAR | 3.2% | 31.06 | 8 |
| 8 | 11 | YEUX DE LIFELINE | 3.2% | 31.37 | 6 |
| 9 | 9 | REGROWTH WINNER | 3.2% | 31.48 | 12 |
| 10 | 10 | WHOWROTETHATSONG | 2.2% | 45.47 | 10 |
| 11 | 12 | GOR GOR | 1.7% | 59.12 | 4 |
| 12 | 8 | CELESTIAL STRIDER | 1.1% | 92.49 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 28
PLACE
1 17.5
2 20.5
3 13
QUINELLA
2,3 87.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 59.5
1,3 36.5
2,3 37
FORECAST
3,2 167
TIERCE
3,2,1 703
TRIO
1,2,3 164
FIRST 4
1,2,3,12 387
QUARTET
3,2,1,12 6,938
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,11/1,2,3 14,542
2ND DOUBLE
4/2 58
4/3 123