Happy Valley · 2026-02-11 · 10:40
NG FONG HANDICAP
Race 1
Race 1 ("NG FONG HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-02-11 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. RUN RUN TIMING, ridden by R Kingscote and trained by P F Yiu, won, with TELECOM POWER second and DRAGON SUNRISE third. The winner led throughout. The 3.3 favourite BLING BLING GENIUS finished 12th.
Track detail
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | RUN RUN TIMING Wire to wire V 1:38.93 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) R Kingscote · P F Yiu | R Kingscote | P F Yiu | 6 | 5.3 | — |
| 2 | 4 | TELECOM POWER Closed strongly B M Guyon · Y S Tsui | M Guyon | Y S Tsui | 2 | 5.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 10 | DRAGON SUNRISE Closed strongly P/XB L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 11 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 5 | PODIUM Closed strongly B/TT C L Chau · D Eustace | C L Chau | D Eustace | 3 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 6 | SMILING EMPEROR Closed strongly V/XB L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 1 | 14.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 2 | CONSPIRACY WITNESS Closed strongly TT D B McMonagle · D A Hayes | D B McMonagle | D A Hayes | 12 | 24.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 3 | CARRYON SMILING Closed strongly TT J Orman · W Y So | J Orman | W Y So | 7 | 25.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 12 | STRONGEST BOY Closed strongly V-/CP2 H Bentley · J Richards | H Bentley | J Richards | 8 | 11.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | MEEPMEEP B/E/TT B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 9 | 35.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 7 | PERFECT PEACH B/TT K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 4 | 21.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 11 | EVER SMART H2/TT H T Mo · F C Lor | H T Mo | F C Lor | 10 | 18.0 | 18-1/4 |
| 12 | 1 | BLING BLING GENIUS Z Purton · D J Whyte | Z Purton | D J Whyte | 5 | 3.3 | 19 |
| — | 0 | WAH MAY WAI WAI · A S Cruz | — | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | DRACO XB/B1 H Bowman · B Crawford | H Bowman | B Crawford | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | BLING BLING GENIUS | 35.3% | 2.84 | 12 |
| 2 | 4 | TELECOM POWER | 16.1% | 6.22 | 2 |
| 3 | 5 | PODIUM | 9.0% | 11.14 | 4 |
| 4 | 8 | RUN RUN TIMING | 7.6% | 13.08 | 1 |
| 5 | 12 | STRONGEST BOY | 6.4% | 15.74 | 8 |
| 6 | 7 | PERFECT PEACH | 6.2% | 16.07 | 10 |
| 7 | 2 | CONSPIRACY WITNESS | 4.9% | 20.30 | 6 |
| 8 | 3 | CARRYON SMILING | 4.3% | 23.34 | 7 |
| 9 | 9 | MEEPMEEP | 3.0% | 33.86 | 9 |
| 10 | 10 | DRAGON SUNRISE | 2.6% | 38.55 | 3 |
| 11 | 6 | SMILING EMPEROR | 2.5% | 39.53 | 5 |
| 12 | 11 | EVER SMART | 2.2% | 45.86 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 53.5
PLACE
4 17.5
8 21
10 37
QUINELLA
4,8 161.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 56.5
4,10 106.5
8,10 89.5
FORECAST
8,4 355
TIERCE
8,4,10 3,460
TRIO
4,8,10 727
FIRST 4
4,5,8,10 1,262
QUARTET
8,4,10,5 27,940