Happy Valley · 2026-02-11 · 11:10
SHUNG LING HANDICAP
Race 2
Race 2 ("SHUNG LING HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-02-11 was Class 5 over 1000m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. MACANESE MASTER, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by Y S Tsui, won, with TAIHANG SCENERY second and MODEST GENTLEMAN third. The 3.3 favourite NEBRASKAN finished 4th.
Track detail
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | MACANESE MASTER V 0:56.84 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 7 | 11.0 | — |
| 2 | 9 | TAIHANG SCENERY TT2 E C W Wong · C S Shum | E C W Wong | C S Shum | 10 | 35.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 12 | MODEST GENTLEMAN B/TT M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 4 | 4.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | NEBRASKAN B/TT Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 1 | 3.3 | 3 |
| 5 | 4 | SPICY SPANGLE H/TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 3 | 4.7 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 1 | ISLAND BREEZES B/TT L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 11 | 19.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 5 | EXCEED THE WISH L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 2 | 16.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 3 | THOUSAND CUPS TT M Guyon · A S Cruz | M Guyon | A S Cruz | 8 | 18.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 8 | ORIENTAL SURPRISE B/TT B Avdulla · D A Hayes | B Avdulla | D A Hayes | 12 | 9.7 | 5 |
| 10 | 10 | SPORTIC WARRIOR CP1 H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 9 | 154.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 6 | RACINGRACE XB J Orman · D J Hall | J Orman | D J Hall | 6 | 50.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 7 | BRILLIANT FIRE B/XB/TT A Atzeni · D J Whyte | A Atzeni | D J Whyte | 5 | 12.0 | 9 |
| — | 0 | KING ALLOY B R Kingscote · K H Ting | R Kingscote | K H Ting | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | SILVER KING H/XB/TT · F C Lor | — | F C Lor | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | NEBRASKAN | 30.8% | 3.25 | 4 |
| 2 | 12 | MODEST GENTLEMAN | 14.2% | 7.07 | 3 |
| 3 | 4 | SPICY SPANGLE | 11.9% | 8.39 | 5 |
| 4 | 3 | THOUSAND CUPS | 7.9% | 12.69 | 8 |
| 5 | 1 | ISLAND BREEZES | 7.5% | 13.35 | 6 |
| 6 | 5 | EXCEED THE WISH | 6.0% | 16.70 | 7 |
| 7 | 7 | BRILLIANT FIRE | 5.2% | 19.14 | 12 |
| 8 | 11 | MACANESE MASTER | 4.4% | 22.69 | 1 |
| 9 | 8 | ORIENTAL SURPRISE | 3.8% | 26.36 | 9 |
| 10 | 9 | TAIHANG SCENERY | 3.7% | 27.19 | 2 |
| 11 | 6 | RACINGRACE | 3.2% | 30.85 | 11 |
| 12 | 10 | SPORTIC WARRIOR | 1.4% | 70.29 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 110.5
PLACE
9 77
11 30.5
12 16.5
QUINELLA
9,11 1,796.5
QUINELLA PLACE
9,11 486.5
9,12 211.5
11,12 63
FORECAST
11,9 3,161
TIERCE
11,9,12 18,273
TRIO
9,11,12 2,910
FIRST 4
2,9,11,12 1,595
QUARTET
11,9,12,2 71,482
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
8/9 377
8/11 719