Happy Valley · 2026-02-11 · 12:40
SZE MEI HANDICAP
Race 5
Race 5 ("SZE MEI HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-02-11 was Class 4 over 1000m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. BUNTA BABY, ridden by C L Chau and trained by K L Man, won, with BEAUTY THUNDER second and HARMONY FIRE third. Victory came as the 2.7 favourite.
Track detail
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | BUNTA BABY V/TT 0:56.89 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 1 | 2.7 | — |
| 2 | 1 | BEAUTY THUNDER CP/TT Z Purton · W K Mo | Z Purton | W K Mo | 11 | 3.3 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 3 | HARMONY FIRE B/TT D B McMonagle · D J Whyte | D B McMonagle | D J Whyte | 12 | 29.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 11 | SAVVY TWINKLE XB/TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 9 | 12.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 7 | HAPPY UNITED B-/CP1/TT M Guyon · J Richards | M Guyon | J Richards | 4 | 14.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 6 | STAR PERFORMER B A Badel · M Newnham | A Badel | M Newnham | 5 | 9.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 9 | ZOUPER FELLOW TT K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 7 | 16.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 10 | LEAN MASTER B/TT H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 2 | 8.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 5 | SOARING STEED TT1 J Orman · C Fownes | J Orman | C Fownes | 3 | 49.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | ZHOU GONGJIN B M L Yeung · B Crawford | M L Yeung | B Crawford | 8 | 119.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 8 | LUCKY PLUS H1/XB1 L Hewitson · P C Ng | L Hewitson | P C Ng | 6 | 94.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 4 | JACKSON HABIT TT1 H Bowman · K H Ting | H Bowman | K H Ting | 10 | 29.0 | 11-3/4 |
| — | 0 | JOY STAR · C S Shum | — | C S Shum | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | HONEST WITNESS B1/TT · D A Hayes | — | D A Hayes | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | BUNTA BABY | 26.3% | 3.80 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | BEAUTY THUNDER | 14.9% | 6.71 | 2 |
| 3 | 6 | STAR PERFORMER | 14.4% | 6.94 | 6 |
| 4 | 11 | SAVVY TWINKLE | 11.4% | 8.78 | 4 |
| 5 | 4 | JACKSON HABIT | 7.9% | 12.65 | 12 |
| 6 | 10 | LEAN MASTER | 6.0% | 16.58 | 8 |
| 7 | 7 | HAPPY UNITED | 5.6% | 17.86 | 5 |
| 8 | 9 | ZOUPER FELLOW | 3.9% | 25.54 | 7 |
| 9 | 3 | HARMONY FIRE | 3.6% | 28.09 | 3 |
| 10 | 5 | SOARING STEED | 3.4% | 29.37 | 9 |
| 11 | 8 | LUCKY PLUS | 1.4% | 72.29 | 11 |
| 12 | 12 | ZHOU GONGJIN | 1.2% | 84.42 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 27
PLACE
1 14
2 13
3 60
QUINELLA
1,2 51.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 23
1,3 165
2,3 125.5
FORECAST
2,1 99
TIERCE
2,1,3 1,064
TRIO
1,2,3 292
FIRST 4
1,2,3,11 432
QUARTET
2,1,3,11 6,552
All pools (3 more)
1ST TREBLE
8/7/1 210
8/7/2 463
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
6,7,8/1,2,3 58,253
4TH DOUBLE
7/1 89
7/2 180.5