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Happy Valley · 2026-02-11 · 14:50

SAM CHUK HANDICAP

Race 9

Class 3 GOOD TO FIRM 1200m Course A 12 runners

Race 9 ("SAM CHUK HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-02-11 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. LUCKY PLANET, ridden by M F Poon and trained by W K Mo, won, with BEAUTY GLORY second and SYMBOL OF STRENGTH third. The 4.0 favourite LUCKY EIGHT did not finish.

Track detail & race-day changes (1)
Penetrometer 2.71 #10 SPIRIT OF PEACE — Jockey Change

Result

Official · 1:09.44
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 3 LUCKY PLANET B/TT 1:09.44 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · W K Mo 4 6.1
2 11 BEAUTY GLORY TT A Badel · A S Cruz 2 7.2 SH
3 2 SYMBOL OF STRENGTH L Ferraris · F C Lor 6 13.0 N
4 10 SPIRIT OF PEACE A Atzeni · J Size 10 6.0 1/2
5 1 HARMONY N BLESSED B2/TT H Bentley · D A Hayes 5 23.0 1-1/4
6 7 REFUSETOBEENGLISH B/TT Z Purton · P C Ng 12 4.5 1-1/4
7 8 EVERSTAR CP Y L Chung · Y S Tsui 3 31.0 2-1/2
8 4 SPICY GOLD P-/TT D B McMonagle · M Newnham 8 43.0 3-1/4
9 5 PERFECT GENERAL H/P/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes 11 11.0 3-1/2
10 12 PRESTIGE SUPERIOR H/TT M L Yeung · C W Chang 9 139.0 7-1/2
11 9 JOKER ORBIT B/TT H T Mo · C S Shum 7 96.0 8
0 RED SEA TT1 · J Richards
0 GHORGAN H/TT · K L Man
6 LUCKY EIGHT B Avdulla · P F Yiu 1 4.0

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. LUCKY PLANET2. BEAUTY GLORY+0.1L3. SYMBOL OF STRENGTH+0.05L4. SPIRIT OF PEACE+0.5L5. HARMONY N BLESSED+1.25L6. REFUSETOBEENGLISH+1.25L7. EVERSTAR+2.5L8. SPICY GOLD+3.25L9. PERFECT GENERAL+3.5L10. PRESTIGE SUPERIOR+7.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick LUCKY PLANET (23.2%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 LUCKY PLANET 23.2% 4.31 1
2 7 REFUSETOBEENGLISH 18.6% 5.39 6
3 10 SPIRIT OF PEACE 17.6% 5.69 4
4 2 SYMBOL OF STRENGTH 12.9% 7.75 3
5 5 PERFECT GENERAL 8.7% 11.44 9
6 8 EVERSTAR 4.5% 22.15 7
7 11 BEAUTY GLORY 4.5% 22.23 2
8 4 SPICY GOLD 4.0% 25.11 8
9 1 HARMONY N BLESSED 3.3% 30.22 5
10 9 JOKER ORBIT 1.6% 64.31 11
11 12 PRESTIGE SUPERIOR 1.2% 86.24 10
LUCKY PLANET — wonREFUSETOBEENGLISHSPIRIT OF PEACESYMBOL OF STRENGTHPERFECT GENERALEVERSTARBEAUTY GLORYSPICY GOLDHARMONY N BLESSEDJOKER ORBITPRESTIGE SUPERIOR

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 61

PLACE

2 36

3 20

11 25.5

QUINELLA

3,11 245

QUINELLA PLACE

2,3 100.5

2,11 147.5

3,11 85.5

FORECAST

3,11 453

TIERCE

3,11,2 5,339

TRIO

2,3,11 852

FIRST 4

2,3,10,11 1,419

QUARTET

3,11,2,10 31,904

All pools (4 more)

2ND TREBLE

3,6/7/3 1,048

3,6/7/11 413

4TH DOUBLE TRIO

3,4,7/2,3,11 44,072

8TH DOUBLE

7/3 269.5

7/11 161.5

SIX UP

6,7/1,2/2,5/1,3,6/3,7/3,11 1,010

7/2/5/3,6/7/3 218,194

2 [C L Chau]

8 [D Eustace]