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Happy Valley · 2026-02-11 · 12:10

SHEUNG HEI HANDICAP

Race 4

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 1200m Course A 11 runners

Race 4 ("SHEUNG HEI HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-02-11 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. MASTER RESOLUTE, ridden by R Kingscote and trained by C S Shum, won, with BITS SUPERSTAR second and FALCON HUNTER third. The 4.0 favourite BITS SUPERSTAR finished 2nd.

Track detail & race-day changes (2)
Penetrometer 2.71 #11 YEUX DE LIFELINE — Code 92 #8 FALCON HUNTER — Weight Change

Result

Official · 1:09.75
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 7 MASTER RESOLUTE H/TT 1:09.75 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) R Kingscote · C S Shum 1 8.1
2 6 BITS SUPERSTAR Z Purton · D J Hall 6 4.0 1
3 8 FALCON HUNTER TT C L Chau · C H Yip 11 106.0 1-1/4
4 2 FIND MY LOVE B/TT H Bowman · D J Whyte 8 4.2 1-1/4
5 3 FORTUNE WHISKEY B/TT M F Poon · D Eustace 5 17.0 1-1/2
6 10 MASTER OF HUMOR CP K Teetan · B Crawford 10 139.0 1-3/4
7 4 HOLMES A COURT B/TT A Badel · A S Cruz 9 51.0 3
8 9 LUCKY MAN BO/H L Hewitson · D A Hayes 4 7.1 3-3/4
9 5 LIGHTNING ACE H1/TT1 M Chadwick · W K Mo 2 60.0 4
10 1 SUPERB KING XB J Orman · K W Lui 12 4.0 4-1/2
11 12 ENJOY GOLF B-/CP1 H Bentley · F C Lor 3 9.4 6-1/4
0 TACTICAL COMMAND B · M Newnham
0 CHEERFUL WONGCHOY CP1 · P C Ng
11 YEUX DE LIFELINE B/TT A Atzeni · J Size

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. MASTER RESOLUTE2. BITS SUPERSTAR+1L3. FALCON HUNTER+1.25L4. FIND MY LOVE+1.25L5. FORTUNE WHISKEY+1.5L6. MASTER OF HUMOR+1.75L7. HOLMES A COURT+3L8. LUCKY MAN+3.75L9. LIGHTNING ACE+4L10. SUPERB KING+4.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick ENJOY GOLF (19.0%) finished 11th — the winner MASTER RESOLUTE was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 12 ENJOY GOLF 19.0% 5.26 11
2 6 BITS SUPERSTAR 15.9% 6.31 2
3 1 SUPERB KING 14.3% 7.01 10
4 2 FIND MY LOVE 12.1% 8.27 4
5 7 MASTER RESOLUTE 10.6% 9.48 1
6 3 FORTUNE WHISKEY 7.5% 13.27 5
7 9 LUCKY MAN 5.6% 17.94 8
8 4 HOLMES A COURT 5.0% 20.05 7
9 5 LIGHTNING ACE 4.4% 22.87 9
10 8 FALCON HUNTER 3.8% 26.29 3
11 10 MASTER OF HUMOR 1.9% 51.49 6
ENJOY GOLFBITS SUPERSTARSUPERB KINGFIND MY LOVEMASTER RESOLUTE — wonFORTUNE WHISKEYLUCKY MANHOLMES A COURTLIGHTNING ACEFALCON HUNTERMASTER OF HUMOR

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 81.5

PLACE

6 15.5

7 22.5

8 191

QUINELLA

6,7 141.5

QUINELLA PLACE

6,7 45.5

6,8 509.5

7,8 799

FORECAST

7,6 276

TIERCE

7,6,8 13,127

TRIO

6,7,8 2,845

FIRST 4

2,6,7,8 1,703

QUARTET

7,6,8,2 48,850

All pools (1 more)

3RD DOUBLE

8/6 21

8/7 152