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Happy Valley · 2026-02-11 · 13:45

SHEUNG HEI HANDICAP

Race 7

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 1200m Course A 11 runners

Race 7 ("SHEUNG HEI HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-02-11 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. FLYING WROTE, ridden by C L Chau and trained by A S Cruz, won, with MEOWTH second and THE HEIR third. Victory came as the 2.3 favourite.

Track detail & race-day changes (2)
Penetrometer 2.71 #12 DIRIYA — Weight Change #6 SOO KOO — Code 92

Result

Official · 1:09.73
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 3 FLYING WROTE TT 1:09.73 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · A S Cruz 3 2.3
2 1 MEOWTH CP/SR/TT H Bowman · W K Mo 5 3.2 HD
3 7 THE HEIR J Orman · C Fownes 7 9.2 N
4 10 KING GLORIOSO SR/TT B Avdulla · D J Whyte 9 32.0 2
5 9 JUBILATION FOR ALL B/TT H T Mo · C S Shum 1 17.0 2-1/2
6 12 DIRIYA M Guyon · C H Yip 6 12.0 2-3/4
7 2 GIANT LEAP B A Atzeni · P F Yiu 11 11.0 3
8 11 BLAZING BEAM B/TT R Kingscote · K H Ting 8 16.0 4-1/4
9 4 TOP THRONE XB-/CP/TT L Ferraris · D A Hayes 12 36.0 8-3/4
10 5 REGROWTH WINNER CP1/TT Y L Chung · J Richards 4 142.0 11-3/4
11 8 ZETA HEDGE P1/TT L Hewitson · C W Chang 10 73.0 11-3/4
0 CELESTIAL STRIDER TT · W Y So
0 LUCKY GIBS · K L Man
6 SOO KOO K C Leung · K W Lui

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. FLYING WROTE2. MEOWTH+0.2L3. THE HEIR+0.05L4. KING GLORIOSO+2L5. JUBILATION FOR ALL+2.5L6. DIRIYA+2.75L7. GIANT LEAP+3L8. BLAZING BEAM+4.25L9. TOP THRONE+8.75L10. REGROWTH WINNER+11.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick MEOWTH (32.7%) finished 2nd — the winner FLYING WROTE was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 MEOWTH 32.7% 3.06 2
2 3 FLYING WROTE 18.5% 5.39 1
3 12 DIRIYA 11.5% 8.71 6
4 7 THE HEIR 7.3% 13.73 3
5 2 GIANT LEAP 7.0% 14.37 7
6 9 JUBILATION FOR ALL 5.8% 17.19 5
7 10 KING GLORIOSO 5.2% 19.17 4
8 11 BLAZING BEAM 4.8% 20.77 8
9 4 TOP THRONE 3.2% 30.81 9
10 8 ZETA HEDGE 2.6% 38.89 11
11 5 REGROWTH WINNER 1.3% 74.29 10
MEOWTHFLYING WROTE — wonDIRIYATHE HEIRGIANT LEAPJUBILATION FOR ALLKING GLORIOSOBLAZING BEAMTOP THRONEZETA HEDGEREGROWTH WINNER

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 23

PLACE

1 14

3 12.5

7 21

QUINELLA

1,3 35.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,3 17

1,7 48

3,7 34.5

FORECAST

3,1 68

TIERCE

3,1,7 252

TRIO

1,3,7 73

FIRST 4

1,3,7,10 324

QUARTET

3,1,7,10 2,718

All pools (4 more)

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

2,5,11/1,3,6,7 1,793

6TH DOUBLE

5/1 114

5/3,6 348

TRIPLE TRIO

1,2,3/2,5,11/1,3,6,7 30,424

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

1,2,3/2,5,11/Any Combination 608