Happy Valley · 2026-02-11 · 13:15
THE CONSENSUS CUP (HANDICAP)
Race 6
Race 6 ("THE CONSENSUS CUP (HANDICAP)") at Happy Valley on 2026-02-11 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. MISTER DAPPER, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by D Eustace, won, with MAX QUE second and WITHALLMYFAITH third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.0 favourite MAX QUE finished 2nd.
Track detail
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | MISTER DAPPER Closed strongly V-/XB/B2/TT 1:38.44 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Avdulla · D Eustace | B Avdulla | D Eustace | 9 | 15.0 | — |
| 2 | 2 | MAX QUE Closed strongly TT Z Purton · M Newnham | Z Purton | M Newnham | 6 | 2.0 | NOSE |
| 3 | 11 | WITHALLMYFAITH Led early B/XB M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 7 | 6.1 | N |
| 4 | 8 | FIVEFORTWO Closed strongly TT L Ferraris · K W Lui | L Ferraris | K W Lui | 12 | 36.0 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 10 | FANTASTIC FUN Closed strongly XB/TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 2 | 17.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | TELECOM FIGHTERS M Guyon · Y S Tsui | M Guyon | Y S Tsui | 1 | 15.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 1 | FLYING FORTRESS XB/TT H Bentley · W K Mo | H Bentley | W K Mo | 3 | 7.6 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 7 | KEMPES XB- A Atzeni · D J Hall | A Atzeni | D J Hall | 4 | 40.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 12 | ROMANTIC LAOS CP/TT M F Poon · W K Mo | M F Poon | W K Mo | 11 | 80.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 4 | A AMERIC TE SPECSO B D B McMonagle · J Size | D B McMonagle | J Size | 8 | 31.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 6 | PERFECT TEAM Closed strongly B/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 5 | 67.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 9 | OUTGATE TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 10 | 7.8 | 11 |
| — | 0 | STURDY RUBY B/TT · K L Man | — | K L Man | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | TOURBILLON PRINCE CP/TT · C W Chang | — | C W Chang | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | MAX QUE | 49.6% | 2.02 | 2 |
| 2 | 11 | WITHALLMYFAITH | 7.1% | 14.12 | 3 |
| 3 | 10 | FANTASTIC FUN | 5.9% | 16.91 | 5 |
| 4 | 9 | OUTGATE | 5.5% | 18.03 | 12 |
| 5 | 1 | FLYING FORTRESS | 5.3% | 18.78 | 7 |
| 6 | 7 | KEMPES | 4.9% | 20.21 | 8 |
| 7 | 5 | MISTER DAPPER | 4.9% | 20.36 | 1 |
| 8 | 4 | A AMERIC TE SPECSO | 4.8% | 20.93 | 10 |
| 9 | 3 | TELECOM FIGHTERS | 3.9% | 25.65 | 6 |
| 10 | 8 | FIVEFORTWO | 3.2% | 31.28 | 4 |
| 11 | 6 | PERFECT TEAM | 2.6% | 38.76 | 11 |
| 12 | 12 | ROMANTIC LAOS | 2.2% | 44.59 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 153.5
PLACE
2 12
5 34
11 19.5
QUINELLA
2,5 128
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 55
2,11 34.5
5,11 132.5
FORECAST
5,2 563
TIERCE
5,2,11 3,237
TRIO
2,5,11 275
FIRST 4
2,5,8,11 1,761
QUARTET
5,2,11,8 44,134
All pools (1 more)
5TH DOUBLE
2/2 10.5
2/5 345.5