Happy Valley · 2026-02-11 · 11:40
TSEUK LUK HANDICAP
Race 3
Race 3 ("TSEUK LUK HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-02-11 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. INNO SUPER, ridden by C L Chau and trained by D Eustace, won, with NOBLE PURSUIT second and NORTHERN BEAST third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.8 favourite.
Track detail & race-day changes (3)
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | INNO SUPER Closed strongly SR/TT 1:39.65 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · D Eustace | C L Chau | D Eustace | 1 | 2.8 | — |
| 2 | 2 | NOBLE PURSUIT Closed strongly TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 7 | 18.0 | N |
| 3 | 6 | NORTHERN BEAST B Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 4 | 9.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 9 | CALIFORNIA BANNER B/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 8 | 4.8 | 2 |
| 5 | 7 | KOLACHI Closed strongly CP/E1/XB2/TT D B McMonagle · D J Whyte | D B McMonagle | D J Whyte | 2 | 15.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 12 | SETANTA Closed strongly B/TT A Atzeni · M Newnham | A Atzeni | M Newnham | 11 | 22.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 1 | HARMONY GALAXY Closed strongly TT B Avdulla · C S Shum | B Avdulla | C S Shum | 6 | 17.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 5 | TO INFINITY Closed strongly CP- A Badel · J Richards | A Badel | J Richards | 12 | 60.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | WAVE GARDEN XB/TT R Kingscote · K H Ting | R Kingscote | K H Ting | 5 | 30.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 3 | ABSOLUTE AWAKENED H/TT H Bowman · F C Lor | H Bowman | F C Lor | 9 | 9.4 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 4 | PRESTIGE RICKY E K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 3 | 6.5 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | ONE LOVE Led early E M Guyon · J Size | M Guyon | J Size | 10 | 57.0 | 10-1/4 |
| — | 0 | GENIUS BABY XB/TT · B Crawford | — | B Crawford | — | — | — |
| — | 9 | KA YING GLORY BO/TT L Ferraris · D A Hayes | L Ferraris | D A Hayes | 8 | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | INNO SUPER | 32.7% | 3.06 | 1 |
| 2 | 6 | NORTHERN BEAST | 12.7% | 7.87 | 3 |
| 3 | 4 | PRESTIGE RICKY | 11.7% | 8.54 | 11 |
| 4 | 3 | ABSOLUTE AWAKENED | 10.6% | 9.46 | 10 |
| 5 | 2 | NOBLE PURSUIT | 8.1% | 12.41 | 2 |
| 6 | 9 | CALIFORNIA BANNER | 7.4% | 13.56 | 4 |
| 7 | 12 | SETANTA | 4.2% | 23.71 | 6 |
| 8 | 1 | HARMONY GALAXY | 3.2% | 31.59 | 7 |
| 9 | 7 | KOLACHI | 3.1% | 32.15 | 5 |
| 10 | 11 | ONE LOVE | 2.6% | 37.84 | 12 |
| 11 | 10 | WAVE GARDEN | 2.1% | 48.69 | 9 |
| 12 | 5 | TO INFINITY | 1.7% | 59.65 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 28.5
PLACE
2 61.5
6 27
8 13
QUINELLA
2,8 431.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 250
2,8 141.5
6,8 59.5
FORECAST
8,2 610
TIERCE
8,2,6 3,685
TRIO
2,6,8 723
FIRST 4
2,6,8,9 897
QUARTET
8,2,6,9 19,500
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
9,11,12/2,6,8 229,703
2ND DOUBLE
11/2 211
11/8 375