Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Happy Valley · 2026-02-11 · 19:40

TSEUK LUK HANDICAP

Race 3

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 1650m Course A 12 runners
Track detail & race-day changes (3)
Penetrometer 2.71 #9 CALIFORNIA BANNER — Code 96 #9 CALIFORNIA BANNER — Jockey Change #9 CALIFORNIA BANNER — Weight Change

Result

Official · 1:39.65
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 8 INNO SUPER Closed strongly SR/TT 1:39.65 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · D Eustace 1 2.8 —
2 2 NOBLE PURSUIT Closed strongly TT E C W Wong · C Fownes 7 18.0 N
3 6 NORTHERN BEAST B Z Purton · D J Hall 4 9.2 1-3/4
4 9 CALIFORNIA BANNER B/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo 8 4.8 2
5 7 KOLACHI Closed strongly CP/E1/XB2/TT D B McMonagle · D J Whyte 2 15.0 2-3/4
6 12 SETANTA Closed strongly B/TT A Atzeni · M Newnham 11 22.0 3-1/4
7 1 HARMONY GALAXY Closed strongly TT B Avdulla · C S Shum 6 17.0 4-1/2
8 5 TO INFINITY Closed strongly CP- A Badel · J Richards 12 60.0 5-3/4
9 10 WAVE GARDEN XB/TT R Kingscote · K H Ting 5 30.0 5-3/4
10 3 ABSOLUTE AWAKENED H/TT H Bowman · F C Lor 9 9.4 5-3/4
11 4 PRESTIGE RICKY E K C Leung · P F Yiu 3 6.5 7-3/4
12 11 ONE LOVE Led early E M Guyon · J Size 10 57.0 10-1/4
— 0 GENIUS BABY XB/TT · B Crawford — — —
— 9 KA YING GLORY BO/TT L Ferraris · D A Hayes 8 — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 3 ("TSEUK LUK HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-02-11 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. INNO SUPER, ridden by C L Chau and trained by D Eustace, won, with NOBLE PURSUIT second and NORTHERN BEAST third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.8 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. INNO SUPER—2. NOBLE PURSUIT+0.05L3. NORTHERN BEAST+1.75L4. CALIFORNIA BANNER+2L5. KOLACHI+2.75L6. SETANTA+3.25L7. HARMONY GALAXY+4.5L8. TO INFINITY+5.75L9. WAVE GARDEN+5.75L10. ABSOLUTE AWAKENED+5.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick INNO SUPER (32.7%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 8 INNO SUPER 32.7% 3.06 1
2 6 NORTHERN BEAST 12.7% 7.87 3
3 4 PRESTIGE RICKY 11.7% 8.54 11
4 3 ABSOLUTE AWAKENED 10.6% 9.46 10
5 2 NOBLE PURSUIT 8.1% 12.41 2
6 9 CALIFORNIA BANNER 7.4% 13.56 4
7 12 SETANTA 4.2% 23.71 6
8 1 HARMONY GALAXY 3.2% 31.59 7
9 7 KOLACHI 3.1% 32.15 5
10 11 ONE LOVE 2.6% 37.84 12
11 10 WAVE GARDEN 2.1% 48.69 9
12 5 TO INFINITY 1.7% 59.65 8
INNO SUPER — wonNORTHERN BEASTPRESTIGE RICKYABSOLUTE AWAKENEDNOBLE PURSUITCALIFORNIA BANNERSETANTAHARMONY GALAXYKOLACHIONE LOVEWAVE GARDENTO INFINITY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

8 28.5

PLACE

2 61.5

6 27

8 13

QUINELLA

2,8 431.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,6 250

2,8 141.5

6,8 59.5

FORECAST

8,2 610

TIERCE

8,2,6 3,685

TRIO

2,6,8 723

FIRST 4

2,6,8,9 897

QUARTET

8,2,6,9 19,500

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

9,11,12/2,6,8 229,703

2ND DOUBLE

11/2 211

11/8 375