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Happy Valley · 2026-02-25 · 10:40

BOWEN HANDICAP

Race 1

Class 5 GOOD 1200m Course B 12 runners

Race 1 ("BOWEN HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-02-25 was Class 5 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. LUCKY GENERATIONS, ridden by E C W Wong and trained by C Fownes, won, with ORIENTAL SURPRISE second and KING ALLOY third. The 2.8 favourite TAIHANG SCENERY finished 11th.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.71

Result

Official · 1:09.73
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 9 LUCKY GENERATIONS 1:09.73 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) E C W Wong · C Fownes 1 7.6
2 11 ORIENTAL SURPRISE B/TT Z Purton · D A Hayes 10 13.0 SH
3 3 KING ALLOY B R Kingscote · K H Ting 11 9.6 1/2
4 5 CHILL MASTER B/TT C L Chau · K L Man 9 38.0 3/4
5 4 TRIUMPHANT WARRIOR B1/TT M Guyon · J Richards 12 17.0 1-1/4
6 6 MY FLYING ANGEL B A Badel · F C Lor 5 6.0 1-1/2
7 12 SONIC BOOM V/TT H Bentley · W K Mo 3 8.4 3-1/2
8 2 TOP TO SKY CP-/XB1/TT1 K C Leung · C H Yip 6 16.0 4-3/4
9 8 YOU'REMYEVERYTHING CP/TT- K Teetan · C W Chang 4 55.0 5
10 1 COUNTRY DANCER E D B McMonagle · J Size 8 11.0 5-3/4
11 10 TAIHANG SCENERY TT L Hewitson · C S Shum 2 2.8 6-1/2
12 7 RICH HORSE XB M F Poon · D J Hall 7 68.0 11-3/4
0 ONLY U B-/XB/V1 · B Crawford
0 STERLING WONGCHOY B · D J Whyte

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. LUCKY GENERATIONS2. ORIENTAL SURPRISE+0.1L3. KING ALLOY+0.5L4. CHILL MASTER+0.75L5. TRIUMPHANT WARRIOR+1.25L6. MY FLYING ANGEL+1.5L7. SONIC BOOM+3.5L8. TOP TO SKY+4.75L9. YOU'REMYEVERYTHING+5L10. COUNTRY DANCER+5.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick LUCKY GENERATIONS (21.5%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 9 LUCKY GENERATIONS 21.5% 4.65 1
2 10 TAIHANG SCENERY 11.7% 8.51 11
3 3 KING ALLOY 10.1% 9.90 3
4 11 ORIENTAL SURPRISE 9.7% 10.30 2
5 2 TOP TO SKY 8.8% 11.38 8
6 12 SONIC BOOM 8.5% 11.82 7
7 6 MY FLYING ANGEL 7.8% 12.86 6
8 4 TRIUMPHANT WARRIOR 5.7% 17.46 5
9 5 CHILL MASTER 4.9% 20.55 4
10 7 RICH HORSE 4.3% 23.06 12
11 1 COUNTRY DANCER 4.3% 23.10 10
12 8 YOU'REMYEVERYTHING 2.7% 37.65 9
LUCKY GENERATIONS — wonTAIHANG SCENERYKING ALLOYORIENTAL SURPRISETOP TO SKYSONIC BOOMMY FLYING ANGELTRIUMPHANT WARRIORCHILL MASTERRICH HORSECOUNTRY DANCERYOU'REMYEVERYTHING

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

9 76

PLACE

3 30

9 22

11 39.5

QUINELLA

9,11 428

QUINELLA PLACE

3,9 113

3,11 172.5

9,11 141

FORECAST

9,11 840

TIERCE

9,11,3 8,921

TRIO

3,9,11 1,167

FIRST 4

3,5,9,11 7,014

QUARTET

9,11,3,5 134,786