Happy Valley · 2026-02-25 · 11:40
MAGAZINE GAP HANDICAP
Race 3
Race 3 ("MAGAZINE GAP HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-02-25 was Class 2 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. SOLEIL FIGHTER, ridden by H Bowman and trained by D A Hayes, won, with HUGE WAVE second and SKY HEART third. The winner led throughout. The 3.6 favourite SKY HEART finished 3rd.
Track detail
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SOLEIL FIGHTER Wire to wire TT 1:48.08 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 1 | 3.7 | — |
| 2 | 2 | HUGE WAVE Closed strongly TT A Badel · K H Ting | A Badel | K H Ting | 4 | 3.7 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 6 | SKY HEART TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 2 | 3.6 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | JUMBO LEGEND Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 3 | 7.9 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 1 | CALIFORNIATOTALITY Closed strongly B/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 7 | 9.1 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 4 | AWESOME FLUKE P/TT A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 5 | 7.2 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | SWORD POINT CP K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 6 | 36.0 | 15-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | HUGE WAVE | 20.1% | 4.99 | 2 |
| 2 | 5 | SOLEIL FIGHTER | 19.2% | 5.20 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | SKY HEART | 17.6% | 5.68 | 3 |
| 4 | 1 | CALIFORNIATOTALITY | 16.7% | 5.99 | 5 |
| 5 | 4 | AWESOME FLUKE | 14.4% | 6.93 | 6 |
| 6 | 7 | JUMBO LEGEND | 7.1% | 14.06 | 4 |
| 7 | 3 | SWORD POINT | 4.9% | 20.50 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 37.5
PLACE
2 13.5
5 14
6 15
QUINELLA
2,5 56.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 23.5
2,6 25
5,6 22.5
FORECAST
5,2 163
TIERCE
5,2,6 475
TRIO
2,5,6 73
FIRST 4
2,5,6,7 70
QUARTET
5,2,6,7 1,629
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,5,8/2,5,6 739
2ND DOUBLE
5/2 22.5
5/5 214.5