Happy Valley · 2026-02-25 · 14:50
WAN CHAI GAP HANDICAP
Race 9
Race 9 ("WAN CHAI GAP HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-02-25 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. OUTGATE, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by A S Cruz, won, with BIENVENUE second and CALIFORNIA BLITZ third. The 4.6 favourite FRIENDS OF SHAJING finished 7th.
Track detail & race-day changes (1)
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | OUTGATE TT 1:09.47 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 5 | 9.8 | — |
| 2 | 5 | BIENVENUE B Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 11 | 9.1 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 6 | CALIFORNIA BLITZ B/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 12 | 9.3 | 1 |
| 4 | 11 | NEVER TOO SOON B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 3 | 19.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 4 | WONDER KIT V-/B2 L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | 6 | 65.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | STORMING DRAGON V-/TT A Badel · J Richards | A Badel | J Richards | 10 | 13.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 8 | FRIENDS OF SHAJING CP/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 2 | 4.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 8 | 3 | LOVE TOGETHER TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 9 | 5.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 7 | REFUSETOBEENGLISH B/TT A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 7 | 5.9 | 2-3/4 |
| 10 | 2 | RED ELEGANCE B L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 8 | 45.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 1 | TRIUMPHANT MORE V H Bowman · F C Lor | H Bowman | F C Lor | 1 | 12.0 | 4 |
| 12 | 10 | ENDEARED XB M Guyon · J Size | M Guyon | J Size | 4 | 11.0 | 8-1/2 |
| — | 0 | CHIU CHOW SPIRIT TT · K L Man | — | K L Man | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | TOGETHER WE VALUE · C H Yip | — | C H Yip | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | FRIENDS OF SHAJING | 23.2% | 4.31 | 7 |
| 2 | 7 | REFUSETOBEENGLISH | 16.1% | 6.21 | 9 |
| 3 | 6 | CALIFORNIA BLITZ | 14.3% | 6.99 | 3 |
| 4 | 3 | LOVE TOGETHER | 13.9% | 7.19 | 8 |
| 5 | 5 | BIENVENUE | 6.4% | 15.54 | 2 |
| 6 | 10 | ENDEARED | 5.4% | 18.55 | 12 |
| 7 | 1 | TRIUMPHANT MORE | 5.0% | 20.13 | 11 |
| 8 | 12 | OUTGATE | 4.4% | 22.76 | 1 |
| 9 | 11 | NEVER TOO SOON | 4.1% | 24.49 | 4 |
| 10 | 9 | STORMING DRAGON | 3.3% | 30.48 | 6 |
| 11 | 2 | RED ELEGANCE | 2.1% | 48.29 | 10 |
| 12 | 4 | WONDER KIT | 1.9% | 52.62 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 98.5
PLACE
5 32
6 26
12 32.5
QUINELLA
5,12 436
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 118.5
5,12 138.5
6,12 152.5
FORECAST
12,5 954
TIERCE
12,5,6 11,331
TRIO
5,6,12 1,953
FIRST 4
5,6,11,12 5,487
QUARTET
12,5,6,11 131,896
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
7/10/5 2,173
7/10/12 23,744
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
6,10,11/5,6,12 922,117
8TH DOUBLE
10/5 524
10/12 4,139
SIX UP
2,12/2,8/1,5/7,10/10,11/5,12 337,661
11 [Y L Chung] —
1 [C Fownes] —