Happy Valley · 2026-02-25 · 13:45
STUBBS HANDICAP
Race 7
Race 7 ("STUBBS HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-02-25 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. SOLID WIN, ridden by D B McMonagle and trained by P F Yiu, won, with SO YOU WILL second and TELECOM FIGHTERS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite WIN BEAUTY VIVA finished 7th.
Track detail
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SOLID WIN Closed strongly 1:38.95 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) D B McMonagle · P F Yiu | D B McMonagle | P F Yiu | 2 | 5.5 | — |
| 2 | 10 | SO YOU WILL Closed strongly TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 3 | 45.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 3 | TELECOM FIGHTERS Led early E C W Wong · Y S Tsui | E C W Wong | Y S Tsui | 11 | 37.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 1 | KEEFY Closed strongly CP1 M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 12 | 31.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 12 | FANTASTIC FUN Closed strongly XB/TT L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 5 | 17.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 2 | EMBRACES Closed strongly TT C L Chau · W K Mo | C L Chau | W K Mo | 9 | 8.8 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 11 | WIN BEAUTY VIVA M Guyon · J Size | M Guyon | J Size | 1 | 3.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 6 | URANUS STAR XB Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 10 | 5.6 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | KEEN MOLLY B/TT K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 7 | 14.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 5 | TOURBILLON PRINCE CP/TT R Kingscote · C W Chang | R Kingscote | C W Chang | 4 | 13.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 4 | DO YOU JUST H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 6 | 29.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 8 | SILO TT- A Atzeni · J Richards | A Atzeni | J Richards | 8 | 10.0 | 10-1/4 |
| — | 0 | HAPPY TERCENTENARY XB/TT1 · D J Whyte | — | D J Whyte | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | KING LOTUS CP · M Newnham | — | M Newnham | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | WIN BEAUTY VIVA | 26.5% | 3.77 | 7 |
| 2 | 7 | SOLID WIN | 16.3% | 6.15 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | URANUS STAR | 13.7% | 7.33 | 8 |
| 4 | 3 | TELECOM FIGHTERS | 8.4% | 11.90 | 3 |
| 5 | 8 | SILO | 7.1% | 14.00 | 12 |
| 6 | 9 | KEEN MOLLY | 6.8% | 14.80 | 9 |
| 7 | 12 | FANTASTIC FUN | 6.1% | 16.40 | 5 |
| 8 | 2 | EMBRACES | 5.8% | 17.33 | 6 |
| 9 | 1 | KEEFY | 3.6% | 27.50 | 4 |
| 10 | 5 | TOURBILLON PRINCE | 3.2% | 31.67 | 10 |
| 11 | 4 | DO YOU JUST | 1.5% | 64.54 | 11 |
| 12 | 10 | SO YOU WILL | 1.1% | 93.28 | 2 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 55.5
PLACE
3 82.5
7 21.5
10 121
QUINELLA
7,10 1,164
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 410
3,10 2,049.5
7,10 298.5
FORECAST
7,10 2,351
TIERCE
7,10,3 87,434
TRIO
3,7,10 18,266
FIRST 4
1,3,7,10 71,366
QUARTET
7,10,3,1 1,306,894
All pools (3 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,5,6/3,7,10 1,173,854
6TH DOUBLE
1/7 302
1/10 647.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,8,10/1,5,6/Any Combination 62,041