Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Happy Valley · 2026-02-25 · 12:10

KENNEDY HANDICAP

Race 4

Class 4 GOOD 1200m Course B 12 runners

Race 4 ("KENNEDY HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-02-25 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. LEGEND STAR, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by C S Shum, won, with TACTICAL COMMAND second and ICONICAL third. The 2.4 favourite DAN ATTACK finished 5th.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.71

Result

Official · 1:10.15
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 12 LEGEND STAR B/TT 1:10.15 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Y L Chung · C S Shum 8 22.0
2 2 TACTICAL COMMAND B A Badel · M Newnham 7 22.0 1-1/4
3 11 ICONICAL B1 M Chadwick · J Richards 9 13.0 1-1/4
4 1 VERY GRATEFUL B-/TT C L Chau · W K Mo 3 8.7 1-1/2
5 7 DAN ATTACK XB H Bentley · D J Whyte 5 2.4 2-1/4
6 3 CHEERFUL WONGCHOY CP1 Z Purton · P C Ng 6 9.1 2-3/4
7 9 SUPREME FEELING B1 L Ferraris · D A Hayes 12 52.0 3-1/2
8 5 KWAI CHUNG TALENTS M L Yeung · C W Chang 1 31.0 4-1/4
9 4 JOLLY COMPANION B/TT C Y Ho · K L Man 10 9.1 4-1/4
10 6 CELESTIAL STRIDER TT J Orman · W Y So 11 162.0 5-3/4
11 8 FORTUNE SUPERNOVA B/TT K C Leung · K H Ting 2 6.5 6-1/2
12 10 GIMME FIVE B K Teetan · F C Lor 4 10.0 14
0 ZHOU GONGJIN B · B Crawford
0 POWER SUMMIT CP · D Eustace

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. LEGEND STAR2. TACTICAL COMMAND+1.25L3. ICONICAL+1.25L4. VERY GRATEFUL+1.5L5. DAN ATTACK+2.25L6. CHEERFUL WONGCHOY+2.75L7. SUPREME FEELING+3.5L8. KWAI CHUNG TALENTS+4.25L9. JOLLY COMPANION+4.25L10. CELESTIAL STRIDER+5.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick CHEERFUL WONGCHOY (26.3%) finished 6th — the winner LEGEND STAR was rated #8. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 CHEERFUL WONGCHOY 26.3% 3.80 6
2 4 JOLLY COMPANION 17.1% 5.85 9
3 7 DAN ATTACK 16.2% 6.17 5
4 8 FORTUNE SUPERNOVA 8.3% 12.11 11
5 10 GIMME FIVE 7.8% 12.76 12
6 1 VERY GRATEFUL 7.5% 13.40 4
7 11 ICONICAL 6.2% 16.07 3
8 12 LEGEND STAR 3.6% 27.91 1
9 2 TACTICAL COMMAND 2.9% 34.24 2
10 9 SUPREME FEELING 2.0% 50.96 7
11 5 KWAI CHUNG TALENTS 1.2% 84.60 8
12 6 CELESTIAL STRIDER 1.0% 103.00 10
CHEERFUL WONGCHOYJOLLY COMPANIONDAN ATTACKFORTUNE SUPERNOVAGIMME FIVEVERY GRATEFULICONICALLEGEND STAR — wonTACTICAL COMMANDSUPREME FEELINGKWAI CHUNG TALENTSCELESTIAL STRIDER

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

12 228.5

PLACE

2 68

11 36.5

12 53

QUINELLA

2,12 2,841

QUINELLA PLACE

2,11 482.5

2,12 684

11,12 379.5

FORECAST

12,2 5,101

TIERCE

12,2,11 66,997

TRIO

2,11,12 10,779

FIRST 4

1,2,11,12 13,320

QUARTET

12,2,11,1 350,820

All pools (1 more)

3RD DOUBLE

5/2 147

5/12 1,025