Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Happy Valley · 2026-02-25 · 12:40

THE VOLUNTEERS' CHALLENGE CUP (HANDICAP)

Race 5

Class 4 GOOD 1200m Course B 12 runners

Race 5 ("THE VOLUNTEERS' CHALLENGE CUP (HANDICAP)") at Happy Valley on 2026-02-25 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. RAINBOW SEVEN, ridden by M Guyon and trained by K W Lui, won, with ARGENTO OCEAN second and AUTUMN VIBES third. Victory came as the 3.3 favourite.

Track detail & race-day changes (2)
Penetrometer 2.71 #11 CALL TO COMMAND — Weight Change #12 CIRCUIT DUFFY — Weight Change

Result

Official · 1:09.45
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 8 RAINBOW SEVEN B/TT 1:09.45 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Guyon · K W Lui 2 3.3
2 2 ARGENTO OCEAN CP H Bowman · D J Whyte 1 7.1 1
3 10 AUTUMN VIBES H/TT- M Chadwick · J Richards 10 35.0 2-1/4
4 1 BUNDLE OF CHARM D B McMonagle · J Size 6 11.0 2-3/4
5 11 CALL TO COMMAND CP/TT H Bentley · C W Chang 8 39.0 2-3/4
6 6 GREAT SPIRIT CP A Atzeni · C H Yip 3 6.4 3
7 9 KA YING WARRIOR CP/XB M L Yeung · B Crawford 4 11.0 3-3/4
8 3 FATAL BLOW B-/V1/TT C L Chau · M Newnham 7 9.2 5-1/2
9 5 SILVER SPURS TT E C W Wong · C Fownes 12 13.0 6-1/4
10 4 BUSTLING CITY H1/SR1 Z Purton · D A Hayes 5 6.1
10 7 GOLDEN FRIENDSHIP B/TT C Y Ho · K H Ting 9 37.0
12 12 CIRCUIT DUFFY V M F Poon · F C Lor 11 77.0 7-1/2
0 FLASH STAR H/TT · C S Shum
0 HOLMES A COURT B/TT · A S Cruz

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. RAINBOW SEVEN2. ARGENTO OCEAN+1L3. AUTUMN VIBES+2.25L4. BUNDLE OF CHARM+2.75L5. CALL TO COMMAND+2.75L6. GREAT SPIRIT+3L7. KA YING WARRIOR+3.75L8. FATAL BLOW+5.5L9. SILVER SPURS+6.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick GREAT SPIRIT (18.8%) finished 6th — the winner RAINBOW SEVEN was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 6 GREAT SPIRIT 18.8% 5.31 6
2 2 ARGENTO OCEAN 18.1% 5.53 2
3 8 RAINBOW SEVEN 16.7% 5.99 1
4 4 BUSTLING CITY 13.2% 7.55 10
5 1 BUNDLE OF CHARM 7.2% 13.82 4
6 5 SILVER SPURS 6.2% 16.26 9
7 3 FATAL BLOW 5.3% 18.85 8
8 7 GOLDEN FRIENDSHIP 4.7% 21.37 10
9 9 KA YING WARRIOR 3.5% 28.97 7
10 10 AUTUMN VIBES 2.3% 43.99 3
11 12 CIRCUIT DUFFY 2.2% 45.99 12
12 11 CALL TO COMMAND 1.9% 53.02 5
GREAT SPIRITARGENTO OCEANRAINBOW SEVEN — wonBUSTLING CITYBUNDLE OF CHARMSILVER SPURSFATAL BLOWGOLDEN FRIENDSHIPKA YING WARRIORAUTUMN VIBESCIRCUIT DUFFYCALL TO COMMAND

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

8 33.5

PLACE

2 25

8 16

10 75.5

QUINELLA

2,8 132

QUINELLA PLACE

2,8 52

2,10 254

8,10 166.5

FORECAST

8,2 253

TIERCE

8,2,10 5,117

TRIO

2,8,10 1,343

FIRST 4

1,2,8,10 2,371

QUARTET

8,2,10,1 37,971

All pools (3 more)

1ST TREBLE

5/12/2 1,457

5/12/8 7,450

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

2,11,12/2,8,10 1,163,993

4TH DOUBLE

12/2 244.5

12/8 1,287