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Happy Valley · 2026-02-25 · 13:10

ROBINSON HANDICAP

Race 6

Class 4 GOOD 1650m Course B 12 runners

Race 6 ("ROBINSON HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-02-25 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. STORMI, ridden by C L Chau and trained by W K Mo, won, with AMAZING AWARD second and TO INFINITY third. The winner led throughout. The 2.6 favourite FORTUNE STAR finished 4th.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.71

Result

Official · 1:39.95
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 STORMI Wire to wire CP/TT 1:39.95 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · W K Mo 6 4.0
2 5 AMAZING AWARD Closed strongly B/TT D B McMonagle · D Eustace 2 7.1 3/4
3 6 TO INFINITY Closed strongly J Orman · J Richards 4 32.0 3/4
4 2 FORTUNE STAR Closed strongly B/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham 1 2.6 1-1/2
5 11 STAR BROSE Closed strongly CP-/B2/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes 8 8.3 1-1/2
6 9 NIGHT PUROSANGUE CP R Kingscote · Y S Tsui 3 13.0 2-1/4
7 7 GOOD LUCK WIN B/TT Y L Chung · K H Ting 9 15.0 4
8 12 WINNING DIAMOND Closed strongly A Badel · C H Yip 7 21.0 4-1/4
9 4 SURE JOYFUL TT M F Poon · P F Yiu 10 50.0 5-1/4
10 10 PRINCE ALEX Closed strongly CP-/XB/B2/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte 12 71.0 6-1/4
11 3 CELTIC TIMES B/TT K C Leung · K L Man 11 44.0 8
12 8 MATSU VICTOR V-/XB1/B2 M L Yeung · K W Lui 5 23.0 8
0 NORTHERN BEAST B · D J Hall
0 NOBLE PURSUIT TT E C W Wong · C Fownes

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. STORMI2. AMAZING AWARD+0.75L3. TO INFINITY+0.75L4. FORTUNE STAR+1.5L5. STAR BROSE+1.5L6. NIGHT PUROSANGUE+2.25L7. GOOD LUCK WIN+4L8. WINNING DIAMOND+4.25L9. SURE JOYFUL+5.25L10. PRINCE ALEX+6.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick STORMI (25.4%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 STORMI 25.4% 3.93 1
2 2 FORTUNE STAR 20.3% 4.93 4
3 5 AMAZING AWARD 13.6% 7.34 2
4 9 NIGHT PUROSANGUE 7.9% 12.70 6
5 11 STAR BROSE 7.4% 13.53 5
6 7 GOOD LUCK WIN 6.6% 15.10 7
7 12 WINNING DIAMOND 4.0% 24.94 8
8 4 SURE JOYFUL 3.6% 27.41 9
9 3 CELTIC TIMES 3.4% 29.44 11
10 6 TO INFINITY 2.8% 35.82 3
11 8 MATSU VICTOR 2.5% 39.54 12
12 10 PRINCE ALEX 2.4% 41.90 10
STORMI — wonFORTUNE STARAMAZING AWARDNIGHT PUROSANGUESTAR BROSEGOOD LUCK WINWINNING DIAMONDSURE JOYFULCELTIC TIMESTO INFINITYMATSU VICTORPRINCE ALEX

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 40.5

PLACE

1 15.5

5 21

6 83.5

QUINELLA

1,5 143.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,5 49.5

1,6 277.5

5,6 268.5

FORECAST

1,5 344

TIERCE

1,5,6 6,748

TRIO

1,5,6 1,775

FIRST 4

1,2,5,6 549

QUARTET

1,5,6,2 17,116

All pools (1 more)

5TH DOUBLE

8/1 175.5

8/5 52.5