Happy Valley · 2026-02-25 · 11:10
KENNEDY HANDICAP
Race 2
Race 2 ("KENNEDY HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-02-25 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. NORTHERN FIRE BALL, ridden by K C Leung and trained by C H Yip, won, with BITS SUPERSTAR second and VICTOR THE RAPID third. The 2.3 favourite BITS SUPERSTAR finished 2nd.
Track detail
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | NORTHERN FIRE BALL TT 1:09.57 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 9 | 3.3 | — |
| 2 | 8 | BITS SUPERSTAR Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 3 | 2.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 1 | VICTOR THE RAPID B/TT C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 8 | 6.7 | 2 |
| 4 | 7 | AWESOME TREASURE TT- E C W Wong · J Richards | E C W Wong | J Richards | 1 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 11 | WINNING CIGAR CP-/B1 H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 4 | 13.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 12 | HAPPY BUDDIES CP/TT K Teetan · W K Mo | K Teetan | W K Mo | 12 | 103.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 2 | AUTOMATED TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 7 | 127.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 9 | FULL OF LAUGHTER SR/TT R Kingscote · C W Chang | R Kingscote | C W Chang | 2 | 28.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 10 | ZEPHYR TT L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 10 | 28.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 3 | SIR CHARGE H1/TT D B McMonagle · D Eustace | D B McMonagle | D Eustace | 6 | 25.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 6 | TOPSPIN KING XB1 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 11 | 34.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 4 | IMPRESSIVE CHAMP TT B Avdulla · P F Yiu | B Avdulla | P F Yiu | 5 | 117.0 | 5-3/4 |
| — | 0 | YEE CHEONG SPIRIT B/XB/TT · C S Shum | — | C S Shum | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | SKY CAP B-/TT · C Fownes | — | C Fownes | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | BITS SUPERSTAR | 47.6% | 2.10 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | VICTOR THE RAPID | 12.1% | 8.28 | 3 |
| 3 | 5 | NORTHERN FIRE BALL | 10.6% | 9.43 | 1 |
| 4 | 7 | AWESOME TREASURE | 8.7% | 11.45 | 4 |
| 5 | 11 | WINNING CIGAR | 5.0% | 19.83 | 5 |
| 6 | 6 | TOPSPIN KING | 4.0% | 24.88 | 11 |
| 7 | 3 | SIR CHARGE | 3.8% | 26.07 | 10 |
| 8 | 12 | HAPPY BUDDIES | 2.1% | 46.86 | 6 |
| 9 | 9 | FULL OF LAUGHTER | 1.8% | 54.84 | 8 |
| 10 | 10 | ZEPHYR | 1.8% | 55.04 | 9 |
| 11 | 2 | AUTOMATED | 1.3% | 79.86 | 7 |
| 12 | 4 | IMPRESSIVE CHAMP | 1.0% | 95.75 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 33.5
PLACE
1 18
5 13.5
8 12
QUINELLA
5,8 39.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 41.5
1,8 28.5
5,8 19.5
FORECAST
5,8 97
TIERCE
5,8,1 328
TRIO
1,5,8 57
FIRST 4
1,5,7,8 76
QUARTET
5,8,1,7 1,594
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
9/5 304.5
9/8 30