沙田 · 2019-09-21
第 2場
2019-09-21沙田第2場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由J Moreira策騎、A T Millard訓練的MERIDIAN GENIUS勝出，贏出NOSE。VICTORY POWER獲得亞軍；QUADRUPLE DOUBLE獲得季軍。2.8倍大熱門VICTORY POWER跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | MERIDIAN GENIUS 0.56.81 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · A T Millard | J Moreira | A T Millard | 5 | 5.4 | NOSE |
| 2 | 8 | VICTORY POWER B/XB Z Purton · D J Whyte | Z Purton | D J Whyte | 14 | 2.8 | NOSE |
| 3 | 7 | QUADRUPLE DOUBLE M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 7 | 10.0 | 4 |
| 4 | 4 | SUNSHINE UNIVERSE B K H Chan · R Gibson | K H Chan | R Gibson | 8 | 15.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 5 | 3 | GUNNAR B1 N Callan · C Fownes | N Callan | C Fownes | 4 | 3.7 | 6-1/2 |
| 6 | 11 | G UNIT G van Niekerk · J Moore | G van Niekerk | J Moore | 13 | 16.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 7 | 13 | JIMSON THE DRAGON TT A Sanna · C H Yip | A Sanna | C H Yip | 12 | 57.0 | 7 |
| 8 | 1 | E GENERATION R Bayliss · K L Man | R Bayliss | K L Man | 10 | 110.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 9 | 12 | GUN GUN WIN TT C Schofield · W Y So | C Schofield | W Y So | 2 | 45.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | WONDER WIN TT1 T H So · L Ho | T H So | L Ho | 9 | 275.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 10 | APOLLOS BOW H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 11 | 146.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 14 | HAPPY GOOD GUYS B1 H W Lai · P F Yiu | H W Lai | P F Yiu | 6 | 11.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 13 | 5 | TARGET FINDER H/TT- M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 3 | 208.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 14 | 6 | GLORIOUS BUDDY B1/TT1 C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 1 | 30.0 | 12-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | MERIDIAN GENIUS | 22.8% | 4.39 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | GUNNAR | 20.5% | 4.87 | 5 |
| 3 | 8 | VICTORY POWER | 16.9% | 5.92 | 2 |
| 4 | 11 | G UNIT | 8.5% | 11.71 | 6 |
| 5 | 12 | GUN GUN WIN | 6.6% | 15.06 | 9 |
| 6 | 7 | QUADRUPLE DOUBLE | 5.3% | 18.74 | 3 |
| 7 | 4 | SUNSHINE UNIVERSE | 4.9% | 20.50 | 4 |
| 8 | 6 | GLORIOUS BUDDY | 3.8% | 26.59 | 14 |
| 9 | 10 | APOLLOS BOW | 2.9% | 34.07 | 11 |
| 10 | 13 | JIMSON THE DRAGON | 2.7% | 36.80 | 7 |
| 11 | 9 | WONDER WIN | 2.0% | 51.09 | 10 |
| 12 | 5 | TARGET FINDER | 1.3% | 78.75 | 13 |
| 13 | 14 | HAPPY GOOD GUYS | 1.1% | 90.17 | 12 |
| 14 | 1 | E GENERATION | 0.7% | 146.07 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 54
PLACE
2 17.5
7 29.5
8 13
QUINELLA
2,8 71
QUINELLA PLACE
2,7 89.5
2,8 32
7,8 53
TIERCE
2,8,7 1,020
TRIO
2,7,8 213
FIRST 4
2,4,7,8 449
QUARTET
2,8,7,4 6,077
1ST DOUBLE
2/2 1,858.5
2/8 288
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 22
A3 —