沙田 · 2019-09-21
第 6場
2019-09-21沙田第6場，Class 3，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由C Y Ho策騎、K W Lui訓練的MASSIVE POCKET勝出，贏出1-1/4。GOKO獲得亞軍；STAR LUCK獲得季軍。3.3倍大熱門WINNING METHOD跑獲第7名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | MASSIVE POCKET XB 0.56.53 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 9 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 7 | GOKO B/TT H T Mo · C H Yip | H T Mo | C H Yip | 13 | 12.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 6 | STAR LUCK K H Chan · F C Lor | K H Chan | F C Lor | 7 | 37.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 13 | VALIANT DREAM H N Wong · K W Lui | H N Wong | K W Lui | 2 | 4.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 1 | MR LUMIERES Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 8 | 6.5 | 3 |
| 6 | 8 | PERFECT PAIR C Schofield · W Y So | C Schofield | W Y So | 3 | 27.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 3 | WINNING METHOD TT J Moreira · C S Shum | J Moreira | C S Shum | 12 | 3.3 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 4 | ARDENODE TT A Sanna · W Y So | A Sanna | W Y So | 10 | 206.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | KA YING MASTER TT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 1 | 6.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 5 | E MASTER V/XB U Rispoli · C Fownes | U Rispoli | C Fownes | 5 | 12.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 11 | 14 | SPACE B T H So · Y S Tsui | T H So | Y S Tsui | 11 | 255.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 12 | 10 | GREAT SMART B H W Lai · L Ho | H W Lai | L Ho | 6 | 377.0 | 15-1/4 |
| 13 | 2 | OOGA CHAKA CP1/H1/TT1 K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 4 | 116.0 | 16-1/4 |
| — | 11 | HAIR TRIGGER M Chadwick · J Moore | M Chadwick | J Moore | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | WINNING METHOD | 22.2% | 4.51 | 7 |
| 2 | 13 | VALIANT DREAM | 16.7% | 5.98 | 4 |
| 3 | 9 | KA YING MASTER | 14.4% | 6.93 | 9 |
| 4 | 1 | MR LUMIERES | 10.9% | 9.15 | 5 |
| 5 | 8 | PERFECT PAIR | 10.8% | 9.28 | 6 |
| 6 | 6 | STAR LUCK | 6.5% | 15.39 | 3 |
| 7 | 5 | E MASTER | 5.9% | 16.91 | 10 |
| 8 | 7 | GOKO | 4.5% | 22.10 | 2 |
| 9 | 12 | MASSIVE POCKET | 3.3% | 30.35 | 1 |
| 10 | 2 | OOGA CHAKA | 3.2% | 31.23 | 13 |
| 11 | 4 | ARDENODE | 0.5% | 188.76 | 8 |
| 12 | 10 | GREAT SMART | 0.5% | 195.36 | 12 |
| 13 | 14 | SPACE | 0.5% | 203.59 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 103.5
PLACE
6 80.5
7 32.5
12 28.5
QUINELLA
7,12 526.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,7 359.5
6,12 367
7,12 124
TIERCE
12,7,6 20,179
TRIO
6,7,12 3,805
FIRST 4
6,7,12,13 2,117
QUARTET
12,7,6,13 64,921
3 PICK 1
A3 38
A2 —
A1 —
全部彩池（另 2 項）
5TH DOUBLE
12/7 201.5
12/12 2,136.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,5,12/1,2,12/Any Combination 4,568